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Ice Lab

Sat, Nov 16, 2019·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Winnipeg Jets 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 52% of the time.

TBL winsWPG wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against WPG's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Scheifele–Connor–LainePerreault–Lowry–CoppWheeler–Ehlers–RoslovicShaw–Gustafsson–LuotoScheifele–Ehlers–LaineWheeler–Connor–RoslovicKulikov–PionkPoolman–MorrisseySbisa–Beaulieu
Johnson–Kucherov–Point2:550.03–0.001:570.07–0.002:340.11–0.200:370.00–0.004:390.11–0.133:580.26–0.07
Maroon–Gourde–Paquette2:590.07–0.141:130.00–0.090:340.03–0.042:150.01–0.002:180.10–0.232:580.03–0.003:110.09–0.04
Stamkos–Palat–Verhaeghe2:120.13–0.071:350.05–0.130:400.03–0.001:110.05–0.100:400.44–0.073:240.16–0.33
Killorn–Joseph–Cirelli1:150.04–0.112:070.00–0.011:100.00–0.002:530.04–0.112:160.00–0.01
Stamkos–Palat–Joseph1:440.03–0.000:530.00–0.000:490.00–0.001:580.03–0.001:110.00–0.000:310.00–0.03
Killorn–Verhaeghe–Cirelli0:410.00–0.000:500.00–0.001:130.00–0.000:480.00–0.00
Stamkos–Kucherov–Point0:340.00–0.020:560.00–0.02
Stamkos–Kucherov–Cirelli0:400.10–0.020:400.10–0.02
Johnson–Palat–Cirelli0:480.04–0.000:480.04–0.00
Shattenkirk–Hedman1:450.06–0.003:290.07–0.175:400.21–0.293:470.13–0.314:170.69–0.073:430.00–0.07
McDonagh–Cernak6:120.10–0.111:270.03–0.061:510.03–0.004:090.05–0.004:180.07–0.132:460.07–0.39
Schenn–Sergachev0:420.03–0.003:310.00–0.000:500.03–0.071:370.01–0.001:210.00–0.002:280.11–0.073:340.01–0.00
Shattenkirk–Sergachev0:400.04–0.000:430.00–0.001:370.03–0.001:000.00–0.000:590.14–0.00
Hedman–Sergachev0:510.00–0.141:320.23–0.021:280.20–0.161:360.13–0.00
Shattenkirk–McDonagh1:090.28–0.000:570.01–0.000:370.00–0.000:470.00–0.000:570.20–0.000:590.09–0.00
Hedman–Cernak0:430.00–0.000:520.00–0.020:460.00–0.00
Cernak–Sergachev0:350.00–0.000:420.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndJoseph FKillorn FCirelli FJohnson FPoint FKucherov FPalat FVerhaeghe FStamkos FPaquette FMaroon FGourde FMcDonagh DCernak DShattenkirk DHedman DSchenn DSergachev DVasilevskiy GLaine FScheifele FConnor FWheeler FEhlers FRoslovic FCopp FLowry FPerreault FGustafsson FShaw FLuoto FPoolman DMorrissey DPionk DKulikov DSbisa DBeaulieu DHellebuyck G
TBLWPGFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Victor HedmanTBL2624:340:571:2750
Josh MorrisseyWPG2823:590:511:5622
Kyle ConnorWPG2522:250:541:3014
Mark ScheifeleWPG2421:560:551:4124
Kevin ShattenkirkTBL2521:210:511:2620
Neal PionkWPG2721:120:471:1614
Ryan McDonaghTBL2420:080:501:4023
Luca SbisaWPG2519:270:472:0606
Mikhail SergachevTBL2219:070:521:3651
Nikolaj EhlersWPG2519:050:461:5912
Andrew CoppWPG2318:360:491:3527
Erik CernakTBL2318:320:481:2613
Dmitry KulikovWPG2618:250:431:1915
Brayden PointTBL2318:050:471:1952
Blake WheelerWPG2617:550:411:1112
Nikita KucherovTBL2317:510:471:3851
Ondrej PalatTBL2217:360:481:2140
Steven StamkosTBL2117:140:491:3862
Anthony CirelliTBL2116:470:481:3842
Patrik LaineWPG2216:400:451:0425
Nathan BeaulieuWPG2216:250:451:5904
Adam LowryWPG2216:210:451:1007
Tucker PoolmanWPG2115:340:441:5613
Alex KillornTBL2215:060:411:4252
Jack RoslovicWPG2315:040:391:1911
Mathieu PerreaultWPG2114:550:431:0326
Tyler JohnsonTBL1914:350:461:1320
Patrick MaroonTBL1814:120:471:1140
Yanni GourdeTBL1814:030:471:1232
Cedric PaquetteTBL1712:240:441:0232
Mathieu JosephTBL1512:200:491:1340
Luke SchennTBL1512:140:491:1921
Carter VerhaegheTBL129:080:461:2210
Logan ShawWPG96:320:440:5900
Joona LuotoWPG96:040:400:5900
David GustafssonWPG75:250:461:0200