Skip to content
Ice Lab

Mon, Dec 9, 2019·Amalie Arena, Tampa

New York Islanders 5, Tampa Bay Lightning 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 56% of the time.

TBL winsNYI wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against NYI's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Bailey–Johnston–BarzalNelson–Dal Colle–BeauvillierClutterbuck–Martin–CizikasBrassard–Eberle–LeeEberle–Lee–NelsonBrassard–Nelson–BeauvillierClutterbuck–Martin–BeauvillierBailey–Nelson–BeauvillierMayfield–ToewsPelech–PulockBoychuk–PelechBoychuk–ToewsPulock–ToewsMayfield–PulockPelech–DobsonBoychuk–PulockToews–DobsonMayfield–DobsonMayfield–PelechPulock–DobsonPelech–Toews
Palat–Kucherov–Point4:520.18–0.062:580.10–0.001:200.00–0.000:350.06–0.000:330.07–0.021:550.00–0.003:300.15–0.050:540.00–0.011:470.10–0.000:480.00–0.000:480.07–0.020:540.10–0.00
Maroon–Gourde–Paquette1:520.09–0.001:120.00–0.040:500.00–0.001:200.00–0.071:380.00–0.070:330.00–0.001:070.08–0.000:560.00–0.040:390.02–0.000:590.00–0.000:380.02–0.000:470.00–0.00
Killorn–Stamkos–Cirelli1:090.00–0.001:270.15–0.002:020.05–0.181:010.15–0.000:480.00–0.032:500.15–0.001:090.05–0.001:100.02–0.030:320.13–0.000:400.00–0.00
Conacher–Verhaeghe–Stephens1:000.00–0.140:320.00–0.000:360.03–0.000:310.00–0.310:420.10–0.001:080.10–0.041:460.10–0.000:380.06–0.000:580.00–0.310:300.02–0.000:330.00–0.10
Killorn–Conacher–Cirelli0:310.00–0.000:450.00–0.051:040.17–0.000:490.00–0.001:350.00–0.000:480.00–0.050:350.00–0.00
Stamkos–Gourde–Verhaeghe1:350.00–0.110:450.00–0.061:140.00–0.13
Maroon–Paquette–Stephens0:580.00–0.000:420.00–0.000:330.00–0.00
McDonagh–Cernak4:040.06–0.141:570.00–0.121:470.03–0.001:040.00–0.041:350.00–0.040:570.00–0.051:300.10–0.001:210.00–0.031:310.02–0.000:380.00–0.020:330.00–0.091:130.00–0.001:030.02–0.001:030.00–0.00
Shattenkirk–Hedman1:510.05–0.013:100.15–0.111:220.05–0.091:130.15–0.003:040.15–0.001:280.09–0.051:480.05–0.010:470.02–0.001:180.00–0.130:320.13–0.000:400.00–0.00
Shattenkirk–Sergachev1:010.00–0.001:370.00–0.041:350.00–0.002:010.00–0.000:420.00–0.000:470.00–0.040:420.00–0.00
Schenn–Hedman1:180.08–0.100:580.00–0.000:370.17–0.000:310.00–0.311:380.00–0.000:390.08–0.000:580.00–0.310:540.20–0.000:380.02–0.00
Schenn–Sergachev1:260.14–0.101:480.10–0.060:550.00–0.001:110.06–0.001:090.00–0.001:330.05–0.000:310.06–0.060:350.10–0.000:330.00–0.00
McDonagh–Sergachev0:400.00–0.000:330.00–0.020:420.10–0.000:590.10–0.000:330.00–0.02
McDonagh–Hedman0:580.07–0.020:390.00–0.031:080.07–0.02
Shattenkirk–Cernak0:330.06–0.00
Cernak–Sergachev0:530.00–0.000:350.00–0.03
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndKillorn FCirelli FConacher FPaquette FMaroon FStephens FPalat FPoint FKucherov FGourde FVerhaeghe FStamkos FShattenkirk DHedman DMcDonagh DCernak DSchenn DSergachev DMcElhinney GBeauvillier FDal Colle FNelson FClutterbuck FMartin FCizikas FBarzal FBailey FJohnston FEberle FBrassard FLee FPelech DPulock DMayfield DToews DBoychuk DDobson DVarlamov G
TBLNYIFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Devon ToewsNYI2524:450:593:2132
Victor HedmanTBL2523:530:571:4443
Adam PelechNYI2523:360:571:5834
Kevin ShattenkirkTBL2421:500:551:4420
Ryan PulockNYI2420:520:521:5714
Scott MayfieldNYI2520:340:491:4124
Anthony CirelliTBL2519:550:481:2654
Mikhail SergachevTBL2419:360:492:0310
Alex KillornTBL2219:350:531:5642
Ryan McDonaghTBL2119:260:561:2724
Josh BaileyNYI2319:200:501:4151
Mathew BarzalNYI1919:071:001:5450
Brock NelsonNYI2418:530:472:2423
Johnny BoychukNYI2518:040:432:0446
Erik CernakTBL2117:590:511:5022
Nikita KucherovTBL1917:140:541:5332
Steven StamkosTBL2017:140:521:5673
Brayden PointTBL2016:400:501:2942
Cal ClutterbuckNYI2215:490:431:2717
Ondrej PalatTBL2015:130:461:1522
Yanni GourdeTBL1714:460:521:3412
Anthony BeauvillierNYI1814:340:491:2923
Jordan EberleNYI1614:310:541:5441
Cedric PaquetteTBL1714:270:511:2001
Anders LeeNYI1914:250:461:3652
Patrick MaroonTBL1814:050:471:1610
Casey CizikasNYI2113:440:391:2706
Luke SchennTBL1713:070:461:1612
Ross JohnstonNYI1412:130:521:3520
Matt MartinNYI1611:580:451:2712
Cory ConacherTBL1811:100:371:1021
Derick BrassardNYI1410:180:441:1733
Carter VerhaegheTBL169:560:371:2031
Michael Dal ColleNYI139:430:451:2102
Noah DobsonNYI159:340:381:2710
Mitchell StephensTBL158:280:340:5620