Tue, Dec 10, 2019·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
St. Louis Blues 2, Buffalo Sabres 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 76% of the time.
69%
9%
15%
BUF winsSTL wins
St. Louis Blues
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 23:29 | 0.03 | 36.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 21:34 | 0.00 | 31.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 5 | 21:09 | 0.19 | 33.2% | +25.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 21:07 | 0.04 | 52.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 21:01 | 0.00 | 41.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 20:33 | 0.03 | 33.6% | +25.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −3 | 2 | 19:56 | 0.28 | 29.8% | +25.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:48 | 0.02 | 27.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 19:10 | 0.20 | 63.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 18:02 | 0.17 | 62.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16:57 | 0.06 | 70.8% | +13.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:13 | 0.05 | 61.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13:35 | 0.44 | 71.0% | +13.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 13:09 | 0.00 | 53.5% | +13.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 11:07 | 0.05 | 80.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:33 | 0.01 | 16.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:12 | 0.00 | 3.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:54 | 0.00 | 3.2% | 0.0 |
| L | 31 | 28 | 3 | .903 | 1.81 | −1.2 | 58:31 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 4 | 21:46 | 0.08 | 61.0% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +3 | 2 | 19:56 | 0.67 | 53.2% | +26.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 19:24 | 0.05 | 66.0% | +12.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19:05 | 0.03 | 44.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 18:49 | 0.01 | 53.7% | +2.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 18:48 | 0.04 | 54.0% | +22.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:48 | 0.01 | 54.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:33 | 0.02 | 35.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 17:06 | 0.21 | 58.7% | +39.5 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 17:01 | 0.26 | 57.7% | +39.5 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 3 | 16:24 | 0.41 | 73.2% | +25.7 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 15:45 | 0.75 | 65.9% | +2.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 14:54 | 0.00 | 69.8% | +22.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 14:00 | 0.31 | 42.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:47 | 0.03 | 50.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:44 | 0.08 | 68.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 11:44 | 0.05 | 57.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:26 | 0.02 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 30 | 28 | 2 | .933 | 1.57 | −0.4 | 60:00 |