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Ice Lab

Tue, Dec 10, 2019·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

St. Louis Blues 2, Buffalo Sabres 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 76% of the time.

BUF winsSTL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against STL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Perron–Bozak–O'ReillySchenn–Schwartz–KyrouBrouwer–Barbashev–ThomasMacEachern–de la Rose–PoganskiBrouwer–de la Rose–BarbashevBouwmeester–FaulkPietrangelo–ParaykoBortuzzo–DunnBouwmeester–ParaykoPietrangelo–DunnFaulk–DunnParayko–DunnPietrangelo–FaulkBortuzzo–FaulkBouwmeester–PietrangeloFaulk–Parayko
Reinhart–Olofsson–Eichel8:070.31–0.201:310.12–0.050:320.00–0.003:220.13–0.003:360.17–0.092:520.00–0.021:270.12–0.04
Johansson–Vesey–Asplund5:190.04–0.150:450.01–0.051:540.04–0.000:360.02–0.003:230.05–0.102:110.01–0.001:100.00–0.000:340.00–0.101:040.04–0.000:480.00–0.00
Okposo–Larsson–Girgensons3:250.19–0.011:390.08–0.042:050.09–0.060:370.00–0.001:440.24–0.002:130.02–0.040:530.00–0.010:460.01–0.001:190.09–0.061:070.00–0.00
Skinner–Rodrigues–Mittelstadt0:590.00–0.003:520.00–0.301:060.00–0.002:180.00–0.041:170.00–0.001:080.00–0.200:370.00–0.000:480.00–0.02
Johansson–Skinner–Rodrigues0:510.00–0.000:330.00–0.00
Skinner–Vesey–Rodrigues1:010.28–0.010:560.28–0.01
Ristolainen–Montour5:430.28–0.072:310.00–0.161:550.21–0.092:140.03–0.010:320.00–0.005:340.15–0.052:270.17–0.121:400.00–0.012:290.00–0.010:450.12–0.020:370.09–0.101:090.00–0.000:340.00–0.02
Bogosian–Miller2:340.19–0.044:140.02–0.033:590.00–0.290:500.14–0.000:500.01–0.061:480.00–0.003:070.19–0.031:590.02–0.231:240.14–0.001:360.00–0.020:470.00–0.041:370.01–0.091:080.00–0.020:480.00–0.00
McCabe–Jokiharju4:160.03–0.033:340.09–0.003:310.01–0.161:300.01–0.001:560.03–0.101:550.05–0.002:570.01–0.001:400.00–0.030:570.00–0.001:380.00–0.061:050.00–0.001:140.04–0.061:180.02–0.00
Miller–Montour0:330.00–0.000:370.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndEichel FReinhart FOlofsson FVesey FAsplund FJohansson FMittelstadt FSkinner FRodrigues FOkposo FLarsson FGirgensons FRistolainen DMontour DBogosian DMiller DJokiharju DMcCabe DUllmark GBozak FPerron FO'Reilly FSchenn FSchwartz FKyrou FThomas FBrouwer FBarbashev FPoganski FMacEachern Fde la Rose FPietrangelo DParayko DBouwmeester DFaulk DDunn DBortuzzo DAllen G
BUFSTLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Colton ParaykoSTL2923:290:491:3013
Rasmus RistolainenBUF2521:460:521:2641
Ryan O'ReillySTL2521:340:522:0224
Alex PietrangeloSTL2721:090:471:3243
Vince DunnSTL2721:070:471:2431
Justin FaulkSTL2621:010:492:0222
Tyler BozakSTL2620:330:471:3914
Jack EichelBUF2419:560:501:5842
David PerronSTL2319:560:521:3423
Jay BouwmeesterSTL2519:480:482:0235
Brandon MontourBUF2319:240:511:4130
Jaden SchwartzSTL2119:100:551:4411
Jake McCabeBUF2319:050:501:4807
Henri JokiharjuBUF2218:490:511:4804
Zach BogosianBUF2218:480:511:5314
Colin MillerBUF2318:480:491:5324
Brayden SchennSTL2018:020:541:3721
Marcus JohanssonBUF2217:330:481:1824
Victor OlofssonBUF2317:060:451:4443
Sam ReinhartBUF2317:010:441:4942
Ivan BarbashevSTL2016:570:511:2321
Johan LarssonBUF2116:240:471:2214
Zemgus GirgensonsBUF2115:450:451:2214
Jordan KyrouSTL2015:130:461:1010
Jimmy VeseyBUF2114:540:431:0613
Jeff SkinnerBUF1514:000:561:3223
Troy BrouwerSTL1713:350:481:3120
Robert ThomasSTL1713:090:461:2030
Evan RodriguesBUF1512:470:511:2503
Kyle OkposoBUF1711:440:411:2222
Rasmus AsplundBUF1811:440:391:0013
Robert BortuzzoSTL2111:070:320:5823
Casey MittelstadtBUF1210:260:521:2612
Jacob de la RoseSTL129:330:481:1712
Mackenzie MacEachernSTL96:120:411:0712
Austin PoganskiSTL95:540:391:1112