Thu, Dec 19, 2019·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Dallas Stars 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 3 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 79% of the time.
74%
14%
TBL winsDAL wins
Dallas Stars
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 25:42 | 0.01 | 26.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 23:16 | 0.01 | 34.4% | +34.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23:03 | 0.14 | 18.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 21:50 | 0.17 | 10.6% | +63.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 18:11 | 0.44 | 39.9% | +15.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:06 | 0.01 | 27.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:38 | 0.01 | 27.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:31 | 0.05 | 56.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:29 | 0.08 | 3.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:07 | 0.00 | 31.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:43 | 0.33 | 49.3% | +38.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 15:31 | 0.00 | 47.2% | +38.6 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 15:11 | 0.08 | 1.8% | +63.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:35 | 0.17 | 41.7% | +38.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 13:13 | 0.16 | 35.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:31 | 0.00 | 8.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10:40 | 0.07 | 18.3% | +15.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:10 | 0.00 | 12.3% | 0.0 |
| W | 48 | 45 | 3 | .938 | 3.61 | +0.6 | 63:00 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 4 | 24:51 | 0.13 | 39.5% | +15.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:40 | 0.02 | 91.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20:54 | 0.22 | 78.2% | +15.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:43 | 0.07 | 78.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 19:39 | 0.35 | 85.0% | +33.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 19:33 | 0.44 | 74.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 19:28 | 0.22 | 71.8% | +15.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:44 | 0.07 | 41.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:37 | 0.37 | 74.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17:55 | 0.08 | 91.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17:39 | 0.05 | 84.3% | +14.3 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17:29 | 0.39 | 76.8% | +33.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:31 | 0.20 | 87.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 13:15 | 0.43 | 86.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 12:11 | 0.15 | 50.6% | +19.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:48 | 0.12 | 84.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8:38 | 0.17 | 53.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:33 | 0.11 | 45.6% | 0.0 |
| O | 20 | 16 | 4 | .800 | 1.74 | −2.3 | 63:00 |