Tue, Jan 28, 2020·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Ottawa Senators 5, Buffalo Sabres 2
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 91% of the time.
87%
BUF winsOTT wins
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 23:18 | 0.04 | 55.3% | +19.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22:16 | 0.00 | 51.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 20:20 | 0.64 | 89.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 19:09 | 0.01 | 56.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 19:08 | 0.57 | 90.4% | +19.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 17:51 | 0.46 | 73.2% | +5.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 17:45 | 0.59 | 52.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 17:01 | 0.22 | 86.1% | +19.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 17:01 | 0.47 | 61.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15:59 | 0.07 | 52.6% | +54.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 15:36 | 0.10 | 40.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 15:12 | 0.67 | 40.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 1 | 15:05 | 0.01 | 42.4% | +54.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 3 | 14:52 | 0.29 | 45.2% | +54.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:31 | 0.69 | 24.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:15 | 0.00 | 42.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:00 | 0.00 | 49.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:14 | 0.05 | 68.3% | 0.0 |
| W | 30 | 28 | 2 | .933 | 1.94 | −0.1 | 60:00 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 23:11 | 0.18 | 24.6% | +23.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 22:15 | 0.01 | 62.0% | +23.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 21:10 | 0.01 | 43.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 20:15 | 0.27 | 34.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 5 | 19:52 | 0.30 | 26.4% | +17.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 5 | 18:58 | 0.35 | 61.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 18:33 | 0.04 | 77.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:51 | 0.00 | 31.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:06 | 0.05 | 88.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:04 | 0.20 | 56.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:36 | 0.09 | 35.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:29 | 0.03 | 84.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:55 | 0.20 | 59.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:48 | 0.00 | 54.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:25 | 0.00 | 2.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:22 | 0.06 | 86.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:11 | 0.01 | 40.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 11:57 | 0.13 | 29.0% | +23.4 |
| L | 33 | 30 | 3 | .909 | 2.29 | −0.7 | 50:28 | |
| – | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1.000 | 0.41 | +0.4 | 7:13 |