Tue, Jan 28, 2020·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Ottawa Senators 5, Buffalo Sabres 2
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 91% of the time.
87%
BUF winsOTT wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against OTT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Pageau–Brown–Tkachuk | Ennis–White–Batherson | Namestnikov–Tierney–Duclair | Anisimov–Sabourin–Chlapik | Duclair–White–Tkachuk | Anisimov–White–Chlapik | Hainsey–Chabot | Borowiecki–DeMelo | Reilly–Zaitsev | Reilly–Chabot | Hainsey–Zaitsev | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Okposo–Vesey–Lazar | 2:220.03–0.00 | 2:190.03–0.00 | 1:190.00–0.02 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 1:030.00–0.00 | 0:570.00–0.00 | 4:450.03–0.00 | 2:220.03–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 | ||
| Girgensons–Reinhart–Eichel | 3:130.04–0.30 | 1:220.22–0.31 | 1:510.00–0.03 | 2:280.22–0.38 | 3:590.09–0.14 | 1:310.00–0.02 | |||||
| Frolik–Johansson–Skinner | 1:160.00–0.11 | 2:000.00–0.00 | 2:210.18–0.01 | 4:030.16–0.03 | 1:060.00–0.00 | 1:100.15–0.10 | |||||
| Skinner–Reinhart–Eichel | 0:570.01–0.00 | 1:100.03–0.00 | 2:080.01–0.00 | ||||||||
| Okposo–Larsson–Sheary | 1:040.00–0.05 | 1:010.00–0.03 | 0:590.00–0.08 | ||||||||
| Larsson–Vesey–Sheary | 1:130.00–0.00 | 0:560.09–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Sheary–Reinhart–Eichel | 0:420.00–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.09 | 0:420.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Frolik–Larsson–Sheary | 1:030.00–0.00 | 1:060.00–0.02 | |||||||||
| Montour–Dahlin | 0:340.00–0.01 | 3:500.22–0.28 | 2:180.16–0.00 | 1:140.00–0.00 | 6:480.37–0.30 | 0:500.00–0.00 | 1:320.02–0.02 | 0:570.00–0.00 | 1:000.00–0.00 | ||
| Ristolainen–Pilut | 4:310.06–0.47 | 0:560.00–0.02 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 4:230.06–0.14 | 2:160.00–0.17 | ||||||
| McCabe–Jokiharju | 1:190.00–0.00 | 1:470.00–0.03 | 1:110.00–0.00 | 1:040.00–0.11 | 3:200.00–0.13 | 1:340.00–0.00 | 1:510.00–0.00 | ||||
| Miller–Pilut | 1:520.00–0.02 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 1:400.00–0.02 | 0:590.10–0.00 | 2:250.00–0.00 | 0:470.09–0.02 | |||||
| Miller–Montour | 2:250.06–0.00 | 0:490.00–0.00 | 0:540.01–0.00 | 0:570.00–0.00 | 1:300.03–0.00 | ||||||
| McCabe–Ristolainen | 1:120.00–0.00 | 0:470.02–0.03 | 1:010.05–0.00 | 1:220.02–0.00 | 1:410.05–0.00 | 0:470.15–0.00 | |||||
| Jokiharju–Dahlin | 1:150.00–0.03 | 1:020.00–0.10 | 1:060.00–0.03 | 1:000.00–0.06 |
Every shift, one row per player.
BUFOTTFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Thomas ChabotOTT | 20 | 23:18 | 1:10 | 3:27 | 1 | 1 |
 Jack EichelBUF | 24 | 23:11 | 0:58 | 2:04 | 6 | 2 |
 Ron HainseyOTT | 25 | 22:16 | 0:53 | 3:27 | 1 | 6 |
 Brandon MontourBUF | 23 | 22:15 | 0:58 | 1:49 | 3 | 5 |
 Rasmus DahlinBUF | 21 | 21:10 | 1:00 | 2:35 | 3 | 3 |
 Connor BrownOTT | 27 | 20:20 | 0:45 | 2:00 | 2 | 7 |
 Rasmus RistolainenBUF | 21 | 20:15 | 0:58 | 1:43 | 6 | 4 |
 Sam ReinhartBUF | 23 | 19:52 | 0:52 | 1:53 | 8 | 2 |
 Dylan DeMeloOTT | 21 | 19:09 | 0:55 | 2:36 | 2 | 3 |
 Brady TkachukOTT | 26 | 19:08 | 0:44 | 1:10 | 5 | 3 |
 Marcus JohanssonBUF | 23 | 18:58 | 0:49 | 1:43 | 9 | 1 |
 Jeff SkinnerBUF | 25 | 18:33 | 0:45 | 1:30 | 7 | 2 |
 Mark BorowieckiOTT | 20 | 17:51 | 0:54 | 1:43 | 4 | 3 |
 Colin WhiteOTT | 20 | 17:45 | 0:53 | 2:22 | 4 | 2 |
 Jean-Gabriel PageauOTT | 26 | 17:01 | 0:39 | 1:16 | 5 | 5 |
 Nikita ZaitsevOTT | 20 | 17:01 | 0:51 | 1:22 | 0 | 3 |
 Lawrence PilutBUF | 20 | 16:51 | 0:51 | 1:50 | 3 | 5 |
 Mike ReillyOTT | 17 | 15:59 | 0:56 | 1:29 | 4 | 0 |
 Chris TierneyOTT | 21 | 15:36 | 0:45 | 2:46 | 2 | 4 |
 Anthony DuclairOTT | 22 | 15:12 | 0:41 | 1:25 | 3 | 0 |
 Jimmy VeseyBUF | 19 | 15:06 | 0:48 | 1:38 | 2 | 2 |
 Drake BathersonOTT | 21 | 15:05 | 0:43 | 1:38 | 5 | 2 |
 Kyle OkposoBUF | 21 | 15:04 | 0:43 | 1:53 | 2 | 4 |
 Tyler EnnisOTT | 17 | 14:52 | 0:52 | 1:38 | 6 | 1 |
 Johan LarssonBUF | 19 | 14:36 | 0:46 | 1:56 | 2 | 3 |
 Vladislav NamestnikovOTT | 22 | 14:31 | 0:40 | 1:06 | 3 | 2 |
 Curtis LazarBUF | 18 | 14:29 | 0:48 | 1:22 | 2 | 6 |
 Michael FrolikBUF | 17 | 13:55 | 0:49 | 1:41 | 3 | 3 |
 Jake McCabeBUF | 17 | 13:48 | 0:49 | 1:34 | 2 | 2 |
 Henri JokiharjuBUF | 16 | 12:25 | 0:47 | 1:56 | 2 | 2 |
 Colin MillerBUF | 16 | 12:22 | 0:46 | 1:50 | 2 | 2 |
 Conor ShearyBUF | 15 | 12:11 | 0:49 | 1:56 | 1 | 1 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsBUF | 21 | 11:57 | 0:34 | 1:13 | 2 | 4 |
 Artem AnisimovOTT | 13 | 11:15 | 0:52 | 1:35 | 1 | 0 |
 Filip ChlapikOTT | 14 | 10:00 | 0:43 | 1:04 | 2 | 0 |
 Scott SabourinOTT | 12 | 7:14 | 0:36 | 1:01 | 1 | 0 |