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Ice Lab

Tue, Feb 18, 2020·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

Montréal Canadiens 3, Detroit Red Wings 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 55% of the time.

DET winsMTL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

DET forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against MTL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Kovalchuk–Lehkonen–DomiTatar–Weal–DanaultArmia–Drouin–SuzukiThompson–Byron–CousinsPetry–KulakWeber–ChiarotOuellet–MeteOuellet–KulakChiarot–OuelletWeber–KulakPetry–OuelletPetry–ChiarotWeber–Petry
Mantha–Larkin–Fabbri5:000.14–0.382:490.00–0.131:400.21–0.001:440.13–0.003:110.25–0.185:180.33–0.163:070.20–0.010:590.00–0.040:430.00–0.000:540.00–0.17
Filppula–Athanasiou–Bertuzzi2:320.06–0.003:510.29–0.382:240.11–0.181:560.10–0.232:250.18–0.072:480.18–0.181:360.04–0.270:490.10–0.000:390.00–0.00
Nielsen–Helm–Glendening1:510.00–0.005:070.03–0.020:390.00–0.004:100.00–0.021:350.00–0.090:520.00–0.001:130.03–0.00
Erne–Perlini–Ehn1:120.01–0.001:160.00–0.321:580.00–0.152:370.01–0.320:540.00–0.150:450.00–0.000:310.00–0.00
Filppula–Erne–Perlini0:450.02–0.000:500.02–0.00
Helm–Mantha–Larkin
Green–Bowey9:150.22–0.331:270.00–0.003:010.00–0.322:320.11–0.156:140.12–0.697:080.29–0.172:330.14–0.001:070.00–0.000:340.00–0.000:390.00–0.020:480.00–0.17
Biega–Nemeth8:280.03–0.181:580.30–0.000:440.12–0.004:540.12–0.023:210.20–0.211:550.00–0.011:460.02–0.040:410.12–0.000:310.00–0.00
Daley–Lindstrom1:570.04–0.053:300.20–0.384:350.03–0.353:190.12–0.212:130.09–0.123:040.24–0.181:130.02–0.271:220.05–0.02
Biega–Bowey0:410.00–0.000:380.00–0.000:300.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndGlendening FHelm FNielsen FMantha FLarkin FFabbri FFilppula FBertuzzi FAthanasiou FPerlini FEhn FErne FBiega DNemeth DGreen DBowey DLindstrom DDaley DBernier GDanault FWeal FTatar FDomi FKovalchuk FLehkonen FSuzuki FArmia FDrouin FCousins FByron FThompson FPetry DKulak DWeber DChiarot DMete DOuellet DPrice G
DETMTLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Jeff PetryMTL2325:491:072:1425
Madison BoweyDET2725:230:561:5970
Mike GreenDET2624:090:561:5980
Dylan LarkinDET2623:230:541:5663
Anthony ManthaDET2421:550:551:5662
Shea WeberMTL2621:500:501:3522
Brett KulakMTL2221:280:592:0024
Ben ChiarotMTL2520:230:491:2913
Alex BiegaDET2519:470:471:3044
Patrik NemethDET2519:310:471:3024
Robby FabbriDET2219:010:521:3752
Xavier OuelletMTL2118:160:521:2414
Tyler BertuzziDET2318:080:471:4151
Valtteri FilppulaDET2418:010:451:1571
Tomas TatarMTL1916:580:541:3242
Artturi LehkonenMTL2216:520:461:3705
Jordan WealMTL1916:290:521:3243
Nick SuzukiMTL2016:030:481:5442
Ilya KovalchukMTL2115:380:451:0713
Max DomiMTL2015:310:471:4411
Phillip DanaultMTL2015:150:461:1215
Luke GlendeningDET2215:080:411:1253
Trevor DaleyDET2215:080:411:0732
Andreas AthanasiouDET2114:380:421:0670
Darren HelmDET1914:200:451:1222
Joel ArmiaMTL2014:200:431:1622
Gustav LindstromDET1913:370:431:0622
Paul ByronMTL1713:370:481:2933
Nick CousinsMTL1713:290:481:3262
Nate ThompsonMTL1812:250:411:2133
Frans NielsenDET1811:510:400:5521
Jonathan DrouinMTL1711:450:411:1621
Adam ErneDET108:280:511:1632
Victor MeteMTL118:070:441:2111
Christoffer EhnDET107:520:471:1632
Brendan PerliniDET96:040:401:1632