Wed, Jan 13, 2021·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Montréal Canadiens 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 5 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 60% of the time.
53%
32%
TOR winsMTL wins
Montréal Canadiens
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24:02 | 0.06 | 70.4% | +15.1 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 23:43 | 0.04 | 46.5% | +38.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21:30 | 0.06 | 44.8% | +15.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 21:10 | 0.06 | 56.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:26 | 0.55 | 47.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 18:38 | 1.25 | 69.3% | +17.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 17:51 | 0.03 | 52.8% | +28.8 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 1 | 17:36 | 0.29 | 81.5% | +67.2 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 7 | 17:17 | 0.64 | 67.4% | +49.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:25 | 0.31 | 67.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:18 | 0.00 | 60.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 15:37 | 0.22 | 52.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15:20 | 0.13 | 53.1% | +15.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:37 | 0.01 | 46.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:47 | 0.02 | 22.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:09 | 0.00 | 31.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:49 | 0.00 | 10.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:52 | 0.00 | 3.5% | 0.0 |
| O | 34 | 29 | 5 | .853 | 4.45 | −0.5 | 63:24 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 28:35 | 0.33 | 47.5% | +52.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 25:02 | 0.87 | 59.4% | +52.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 24:47 | 0.15 | 59.3% | +27.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 22:37 | 0.00 | 50.0% | +19.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:12 | 0.04 | 49.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 21:12 | 0.00 | 40.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 5 | 19:30 | 1.31 | 39.4% | +100.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 18:14 | 0.06 | 55.8% | +15.9 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 3 | 18:01 | 0.46 | 43.1% | +70.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:30 | 0.14 | 38.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:23 | 0.22 | 31.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13:43 | 0.52 | 58.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:34 | 0.00 | 40.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 12:28 | 0.14 | 34.2% | +35.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:49 | 0.03 | 35.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:25 | 0.02 | 49.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:41 | 0.16 | 36.1% | +15.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:27 | 0.00 | 26.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 32 | 28 | 4 | .875 | 3.67 | −0.3 | 63:24 |