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Ice Lab

Thu, Jan 28, 2021·PNC Arena, Raleigh

Tampa Bay Lightning 0, Carolina Hurricanes 1 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 56% of the time.

CAR winsTBL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

CAR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Stamkos–Palat–PointKillorn–Johnson–CirelliColeman–Goodrow–GourdeMaroon–Joseph–VolkovColeman–Goodrow–PointHedman–RuttaMcDonagh–SchennSergachev–FooteMcDonagh–HedmanMcDonagh–RuttaMcDonagh–SergachevHedman–SergachevSchenn–SergachevSchenn–HedmanMcDonagh–FooteHedman–FooteSergachev–Rutta
Niederreiter–Trocheck–Necas1:280.03–0.003:540.05–0.031:090.08–0.001:290.08–0.000:550.01–0.171:090.01–0.002:080.05–0.011:040.04–0.211:120.08–0.001:310.00–0.021:140.03–0.000:420.01–0.001:190.00–0.00
McGinn–Aho–Svechnikov4:580.04–0.061:380.00–0.001:060.18–0.080:390.02–0.233:170.12–0.160:340.10–0.001:590.19–0.231:070.00–0.000:410.00–0.001:000.01–0.00
Staal–Dzingel–Lorentz0:550.00–0.112:180.10–0.153:190.10–0.240:480.00–0.081:100.10–0.001:110.00–0.080:390.00–0.001:590.00–0.150:530.00–0.240:520.00–0.000:580.10–0.11
McCormick–Geekie–Rempal0:360.00–0.000:500.00–0.000:460.05–0.011:530.00–0.021:310.00–0.041:130.00–0.001:470.06–0.000:370.07–0.00
Staal–McGinn–Lorentz0:530.10–0.180:460.22–0.000:390.00–0.050:400.18–0.000:420.10–0.180:330.00–0.05
Niederreiter–Aho–Necas0:310.25–0.000:380.25–0.00
Lorentz–Geekie–Rempal0:370.08–0.15
Gardiner–Pesce2:200.03–0.136:060.11–0.251:310.00–0.051:330.06–0.021:580.01–0.031:130.00–0.231:270.06–0.002:410.19–0.151:150.00–0.101:340.46–0.001:180.10–0.000:550.03–0.050:330.00–0.080:370.00–0.001:230.00–0.05
Hamilton–Skjei4:130.29–0.171:440.01–0.020:350.00–0.152:340.04–0.232:320.04–0.051:140.01–0.080:510.00–0.300:390.00–0.001:270.01–0.021:230.05–0.111:110.03–0.010:430.25–0.000:320.01–0.00
Fleury–Bean1:050.01–0.005:470.48–0.420:500.00–0.000:520.01–0.172:200.18–0.181:520.10–0.002:010.12–0.172:020.09–0.240:520.01–0.00
Skjei–Pesce1:350.10–0.181:210.22–0.000:390.18–0.021:570.10–0.180:360.00–0.00
Hamilton–Fleury0:360.00–0.00
Pesce–Bean0:360.00–0.000:470.00–0.00
Gardiner–Skjei0:330.00–0.00
Gardiner–Hamilton0:570.00–0.000:580.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndTrocheck FNiederreiter FNecas FSvechnikov FMcGinn FAho FStaal FLorentz FMcCormick FDzingel FGeekie FRempal FPesce DGardiner DSkjei DHamilton DFleury DBean DMrazek GJohnson FKillorn FCirelli FPoint FStamkos FPalat FMaroon FGourde FJoseph FGoodrow FColeman FVolkov FRutta DHedman DMcDonagh DSergachev DSchenn DFoote DVasilevskiy G
CARTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Victor HedmanTBL3127:250:531:4075
Brett PesceCAR2725:110:561:3925
Ryan McDonaghTBL2825:030:541:3426
Mikhail SergachevTBL2823:190:501:5132
Jake GardinerCAR2321:410:571:3931
Dougie HamiltonCAR2721:270:481:4424
Sebastian AhoCAR2420:060:501:3537
Martin NecasCAR2219:370:541:3611
Brady SkjeiCAR2519:140:461:3234
Jordan StaalCAR2919:090:401:1363
Alex KillornTBL2219:050:521:4133
Andrei SvechnikovCAR2218:170:501:3635
Brayden PointTBL2218:170:502:0082
Anthony CirelliTBL2318:000:471:1835
Vincent TrocheckCAR2117:470:511:2534
Steven StamkosTBL2317:170:452:0682
Ondrej PalatTBL2517:010:411:3582
Nino NiederreiterCAR2016:560:511:4812
Jan RuttaTBL2316:510:441:5124
Brock McGinnCAR2516:430:401:2929
Tyler JohnsonTBL1816:160:541:2723
Blake ColemanTBL2115:570:461:1613
Barclay GoodrowTBL2115:560:461:1313
Luke SchennTBL1915:300:491:3410
Haydn FleuryCAR1715:260:541:2511
Ryan DzingelCAR2014:590:451:1740
Steven LorentzCAR2014:410:441:1041
Yanni GourdeTBL1714:080:501:2521
Jake BeanCAR1412:130:521:1321
Patrick MaroonTBL1410:000:431:1720
Morgan GeekieCAR149:530:421:2312
Cal FooteTBL108:550:541:1610
Mathieu JosephTBL128:490:441:1030
Alexander VolkovTBL128:040:401:1620
Max McCormickCAR117:180:401:1812
Sheldon RempalCAR106:580:421:3212