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Ice Lab

Thu, Jan 28, 2021·Rogers Place, Edmonton

Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Edmonton Oilers 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Edmonton Oilers win this game 54% of the time.

EDM winsTOR wins

Toronto Maple Leafs

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Justin HollD · #3000−1124:500.0724.6%0.0
Mitch MarnerRW · #160110223:480.4767.6%+33.0
Jake MuzzinD · #80000023:110.0524.6%0.0
Morgan RiellyD · #440110220:350.2448.1%+33.0
Zach HymanLW · #11000+1120:230.4462.0%0.0
Auston MatthewsC · #341010420:110.3363.4%+35.8
TJ BrodieD · #78011+1019:270.0244.5%+35.8
John TavaresC · #91011+1117:160.2435.7%+14.6
Ilya MikheyevRW · #650000116:120.1225.4%0.0
Alexander KerfootC · #15011−1316:090.2920.3%+35.8
Zach BogosianD · #22000+1215:570.0861.0%0.0
William NylanderRW · #88101+1514:280.7727.8%+14.6
Jimmy VeseyLW · #26000−1012:560.0024.1%0.0
Wayne SimmondsRW · #24101−1111:130.1529.0%+33.0
Travis DermottD · #23000+1010:560.0066.5%0.0
Jason SpezzaC · #19112+149:530.3949.3%+32.6
Travis BoydC · #72011+106:130.0426.4%+18.0
Alexander BarabanovLW · #94000+105:180.0049.5%0.0
Frederik Andersen#31W29263.8974.03+1.059:02

Edmonton Oilers

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Leon DraisaitlC · #29202−1627:471.2559.2%+48.5
Ryan Nugent-HopkinsC · #930000027:080.0073.3%0.0
Connor McDavidC · #97022−1025:420.0041.1%+48.5
Darnell NurseD · #250110221:590.1861.8%+16.2
Tyson BarrieD · #22011−1121:100.1338.8%+32.3
Ethan BearD · #740000120:100.0564.2%0.0
Jesse PuljujarviRW · #130000119:110.4064.1%0.0
Kailer YamamotoRW · #560000115:460.2857.6%0.0
Adam LarssonD · #60110115:380.0167.0%+35.6
Slater KoekkoekD · #20000−2115:150.0440.5%0.0
Kyle TurrisC · #80110114:060.2471.4%+35.6
Caleb JonesD · #82000+1113:350.1366.5%0.0
James NealLW · #180000613:320.7064.6%0.0
Dominik KahunC · #210000212:260.1451.0%0.0
Zack KassianRW · #44101+1411:490.4863.6%+35.6
Josh ArchibaldRW · #15000−118:240.008.6%0.0
Joakim NygardLW · #10000−106:270.008.6%0.0
Devin ShoreC · #14000006:100.0023.8%0.0
Mikko Koskinen#19L27234.8523.71−0.357:42