Thu, Jan 28, 2021·Rogers Place, Edmonton
Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Edmonton Oilers 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Edmonton Oilers win this game 54% of the time.
47%
8%
37%
EDM winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 24:50 | 0.07 | 24.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23:48 | 0.47 | 67.6% | +33.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23:11 | 0.05 | 24.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20:35 | 0.24 | 48.1% | +33.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 20:23 | 0.44 | 62.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20:11 | 0.33 | 63.4% | +35.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 19:27 | 0.02 | 44.5% | +35.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 17:16 | 0.24 | 35.7% | +14.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:12 | 0.12 | 25.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 16:09 | 0.29 | 20.3% | +35.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 15:57 | 0.08 | 61.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 14:28 | 0.77 | 27.8% | +14.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:56 | 0.00 | 24.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 11:13 | 0.15 | 29.0% | +33.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 10:56 | 0.00 | 66.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 9:53 | 0.39 | 49.3% | +32.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 6:13 | 0.04 | 26.4% | +18.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 5:18 | 0.00 | 49.5% | 0.0 |
| W | 29 | 26 | 3 | .897 | 4.03 | +1.0 | 59:02 |
Edmonton Oilers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 2 | 0 | 2 | −1 | 6 | 27:47 | 1.25 | 59.2% | +48.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27:08 | 0.00 | 73.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 0 | 25:42 | 0.00 | 41.1% | +48.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21:59 | 0.18 | 61.8% | +16.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 21:10 | 0.13 | 38.8% | +32.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:10 | 0.05 | 64.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:11 | 0.40 | 64.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:46 | 0.28 | 57.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15:38 | 0.01 | 67.0% | +35.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 15:15 | 0.04 | 40.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14:06 | 0.24 | 71.4% | +35.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 13:35 | 0.13 | 66.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 13:32 | 0.70 | 64.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:26 | 0.14 | 51.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 11:49 | 0.48 | 63.6% | +35.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 8:24 | 0.00 | 8.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 6:27 | 0.00 | 8.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:10 | 0.00 | 23.8% | 0.0 |
| L | 27 | 23 | 4 | .852 | 3.71 | −0.3 | 57:42 |