Sat, Jan 30, 2021·Rogers Place, Edmonton
Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Edmonton Oilers 4 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Edmonton Oilers win this game 77% of the time.
72%
16%
EDM winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 24:43 | 0.01 | 26.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23:57 | 0.06 | 44.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 23:11 | 0.04 | 41.3% | +13.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 22:49 | 0.01 | 54.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 22:41 | 0.22 | 55.4% | +13.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 22:26 | 0.31 | 50.0% | +13.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 5 | 22:04 | 0.87 | 35.1% | +18.3 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18:45 | 0.03 | 34.5% | +35.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 17:30 | 0.41 | 27.3% | +17.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 14:40 | 0.00 | 26.3% | +17.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:37 | 0.07 | 20.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:24 | 0.18 | 43.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:37 | 0.00 | 21.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 12:30 | 0.04 | 85.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:24 | 0.05 | 16.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9:09 | 0.03 | 28.0% | +18.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 7:29 | 0.00 | 18.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 7:15 | 0.01 | 9.3% | 0.0 |
| O | 31 | 27 | 4 | .871 | 4.21 | +0.2 | 60:15 |
Edmonton Oilers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 27:49 | 0.05 | 48.9% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 3 | 23:54 | 0.84 | 67.6% | +82.7 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 23:45 | 0.16 | 53.9% | +68.4 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 5 | 22:46 | 0.16 | 70.7% | +65.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 21:47 | 0.40 | 61.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 19:44 | 0.16 | 51.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 19:18 | 0.31 | 51.6% | +15.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 19:13 | 0.23 | 76.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 17:03 | 0.07 | 43.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 16:45 | 0.03 | 78.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:10 | 0.14 | 83.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 14:52 | 0.00 | 75.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 12:18 | 0.57 | 74.0% | +17.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 9:59 | 0.23 | 44.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:49 | 0.14 | 43.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:18 | 0.02 | 47.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 8:45 | 0.69 | 98.6% | +17.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:09 | 0.00 | 98.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 29 | 26 | 3 | .897 | 2.35 | −0.6 | 60:42 |