Wed, Feb 10, 2021·Centre Bell, Montreal
Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Montréal Canadiens 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 69% of the time.
23%
8%
61%
MTL winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26:24 | 0.00 | 58.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 22:27 | 0.00 | 49.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 22:06 | 0.36 | 47.1% | +5.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 21:46 | 0.18 | 48.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 19:59 | 0.04 | 14.6% | +29.2 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 1 | 19:56 | 0.03 | 12.3% | +57.2 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 18:23 | 1.07 | 51.0% | +21.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16:00 | 0.23 | 54.2% | +15.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:50 | 0.00 | 52.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 15:40 | 0.59 | 58.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 15:28 | 0.35 | 35.9% | +51.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:04 | 0.68 | 44.6% | +15.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 12:02 | 0.05 | 56.3% | +22.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 11:05 | 0.14 | 23.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:09 | 0.05 | 31.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:08 | 0.00 | 29.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:50 | 0.11 | 25.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:40 | 0.00 | 43.9% | 0.0 |
| W | 35 | 33 | 2 | .943 | 2.78 | +0.8 | 60:00 |
Montréal Canadiens
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 22:23 | 0.15 | 52.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 22:08 | 0.00 | 86.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21:37 | 0.07 | 65.1% | +9.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19:27 | 0.09 | 43.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 18:47 | 0.24 | 59.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18:02 | 0.06 | 37.9% | +9.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 17:39 | 0.04 | 53.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:05 | 0.00 | 94.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15:32 | 0.26 | 48.6% | +13.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:31 | 0.14 | 76.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:31 | 0.17 | 76.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:25 | 0.00 | 38.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 14:45 | 0.05 | 55.2% | +13.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:17 | 0.00 | 43.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 14:07 | 0.79 | 64.8% | +9.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:30 | 0.25 | 66.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:42 | 0.00 | 45.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:39 | 0.46 | 49.8% | 0.0 |
| L | 23 | 20 | 3 | .870 | 2.67 | −0.3 | 58:53 |