Tue, Mar 16, 2021·American Airlines Center, Dallas
Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Dallas Stars 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 58% of the time.
50%
8%
9%
33%
DAL winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 27:37 | 0.01 | 49.1% | +12.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23:48 | 0.07 | 45.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23:33 | 0.30 | 57.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 22:57 | 0.60 | 53.0% | +28.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 20:47 | 0.02 | 45.6% | +16.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 20:42 | 0.15 | 58.6% | +16.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 20:19 | 0.06 | 50.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 18:33 | 0.31 | 34.6% | +12.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 17:45 | 0.18 | 33.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:38 | 0.00 | 25.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:04 | 0.04 | 47.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 14:12 | 0.19 | 60.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:34 | 0.37 | 66.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:24 | 0.10 | 50.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 12:18 | 0.00 | 56.0% | +25.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 | 10:57 | 0.18 | 74.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 9:56 | 0.16 | 89.6% | +25.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 9:50 | 0.21 | 89.6% | +25.8 |
| W | 27 | 24 | 3 | .889 | 3.52 | +0.5 | 65:00 |
Dallas Stars
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 28:06 | 0.40 | 66.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 26:43 | 0.68 | 34.9% | +28.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 26:30 | 0.02 | 64.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 21:43 | 0.36 | 45.6% | +54.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 21:05 | 0.13 | 47.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 20:38 | 0.53 | 34.3% | +28.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:59 | 0.00 | 31.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:39 | 0.26 | 85.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 16:36 | 0.08 | 86.1% | +69.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 5 | 16:16 | 0.55 | 63.8% | +47.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:10 | 0.05 | 43.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:14 | 0.15 | 43.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:21 | 0.00 | 40.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:55 | 0.00 | 18.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:50 | 0.08 | 24.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:05 | 0.03 | 29.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:08 | 0.00 | 5.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:26 | 0.19 | 27.9% | 0.0 |
| O | 36 | 33 | 3 | .917 | 2.97 | 0.0 | 64:04 |