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Ice Lab

Wed, Feb 24, 2021·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Calgary Flames 1, Toronto Maple Leafs 2 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 76% of the time.

TOR winsCGY wins

Calgary Flames

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Rasmus AnderssonD · #40000024:300.007.1%0.0
Chris TanevD · #8000−1223:280.0772.1%0.0
Noah HanifinD · #550000022:390.0861.4%0.0
Mark GiordanoD · #5000−1122:290.0223.2%0.0
Elias LindholmC · #280110322:231.0037.5%+43.0
Andrew MangiapaneLW · #881010520:290.4545.9%+43.0
Sean MonahanC · #23000−1019:420.0042.2%0.0
Johnny GaudreauLW · #13000−1118:440.1453.9%0.0
Matthew TkachukLW · #190110217:280.2040.1%+43.0
Mikael BacklundC · #110000117:050.1322.1%0.0
Sam BennettC · #930000316:040.2446.7%0.0
Juuso VälimäkiD · #6000+1014:030.0035.5%0.0
Dillon DubeC · #290000113:130.1230.0%0.0
Milan LucicLW · #170000112:580.1026.6%0.0
Oliver KylingtonD · #580000010:050.0139.2%0.0
Joakim NordstromC · #20000008:170.0026.7%0.0
Josh LeivoLW · #27000025:300.0825.3%0.0
Glenn GawdinC · #42000004:110.0046.9%0.0
David Rittich#33O39372.9494.27+2.361:06

Toronto Maple Leafs

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Morgan RiellyD · #44000+1225:340.1060.0%0.0
Mitch MarnerRW · #16000+1522:380.5842.2%0.0
Auston MatthewsC · #34022+2422:230.4268.5%+100.3
Travis DermottD · #23000−1222:140.0580.4%0.0
TJ BrodieD · #780000121:050.0252.5%0.0
Justin HollD · #30110121:020.0154.6%+52.8
Zach HymanLW · #11011+1021:010.0240.1%+47.5
John TavaresC · #91000+1219:010.2153.3%0.0
William NylanderRW · #88202+1616:191.1566.2%+100.3
Alexander KerfootC · #150000015:120.0352.9%0.0
Ilya MikheyevRW · #65000−1413:190.3340.1%0.0
Pierre EngvallLW · #47000−1212:490.1544.8%0.0
Zach BogosianD · #220000112:390.0685.7%0.0
Jason SpezzaC · #190000011:530.0588.7%0.0
Jimmy VeseyLW · #260000111:200.3777.5%0.0
Travis BoydC · #720000111:020.2081.3%0.0
Mikko LehtonenD · #46000039:500.0754.0%0.0
Alexander BarabanovLW · #94000048:480.4682.2%0.0
Michael Hutchinson#30W22211.9551.94+0.960:15