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Ice Lab

Wed, Feb 24, 2021·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Calgary Flames 1, Toronto Maple Leafs 2 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 76% of the time.

TOR winsCGY wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CGY's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Gaudreau–Monahan–BennettLindholm–Mangiapane–TkachukLucic–Backlund–DubeNordstrom–Leivo–GawdinLeivo–Bennett–GawdinTanev–HanifinGiordano–AnderssonHanifin–KylingtonAndersson–VälimäkiTanev–VälimäkiHanifin–AnderssonGiordano–KylingtonKylington–VälimäkiGiordano–Tanev
Hyman–Marner–Matthews2:050.04–0.004:130.11–0.220:460.02–0.030:450.00–0.003:060.00–0.153:400.14–0.021:510.03–0.00
Spezza–Boyd–Barabanov1:000.00–0.001:530.29–0.001:070.00–0.001:030.29–0.000:510.21–0.001:240.00–0.06
Tavares–Kerfoot–Nylander1:030.10–0.101:330.03–0.000:480.00–0.002:160.12–0.101:590.00–0.00
Vesey–Engvall–Mikheyev0:570.09–0.000:460.00–0.001:090.14–0.100:430.00–0.080:500.12–0.020:300.02–0.091:100.00–0.000:510.09–0.00
Kerfoot–Engvall–Mikheyev1:440.08–0.080:470.00–0.090:310.00–0.00
Tavares–Nylander–Mikheyev0:430.00–0.000:400.00–0.001:060.00–0.00
Vesey–Kerfoot–Engvall0:470.03–0.000:360.03–0.001:270.05–0.00
Hyman–Kerfoot–Matthews0:340.00–0.01
Tavares–Hyman–Kerfoot0:440.00–0.040:370.00–0.04
Tavares–Hyman–Marner0:340.00–0.000:500.00–0.00
Holl–Dermott3:500.20–0.006:270.20–0.181:020.00–0.001:100.00–0.063:120.00–0.063:430.04–0.001:310.35–0.061:210.03–0.001:210.09–0.001:050.00–0.000:430.00–0.000:380.00–0.000:420.02–0.06
Brodie–Rielly5:020.18–0.402:320.08–0.023:470.44–0.185:230.12–0.443:570.50–0.020:410.00–0.120:390.00–0.000:570.00–0.110:530.09–0.00
Bogosian–Lehtonen1:070.04–0.002:450.09–0.000:310.00–0.021:020.00–0.002:070.05–0.020:330.02–0.000:550.05–0.00
Bogosian–Brodie0:410.03–0.000:350.00–0.000:480.00–0.001:150.03–0.01
Rielly–Dermott0:540.55–0.001:050.00–0.000:520.55–0.00
Bogosian–Dermott0:540.00–0.000:370.00–0.000:300.00–0.00
Holl–Lehtonen0:420.09–0.001:020.09–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndHyman FMarner FMatthews FKerfoot FNylander FTavares FEngvall FMikheyev FVesey FSpezza FBarabanov FBoyd FHoll DDermott DRielly DBrodie DBogosian DLehtonen DHutchinson GTkachuk FLindholm FMangiapane FBennett FGaudreau FMonahan FBacklund FLucic FDube FGawdin FNordstrom FLeivo FAndersson DGiordano DTanev DHanifin DKylington DVälimäki DRittich G
TORCGYFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Morgan RiellyTOR2625:340:592:5251
Rasmus AnderssonCGY3524:300:421:1842
Chris TanevCGY3223:280:441:2228
Noah HanifinCGY3122:390:441:2243
Mitch MarnerTOR2622:380:521:5244
Mark GiordanoCGY3222:290:421:0937
Auston MatthewsTOR2422:230:561:5242
Elias LindholmCGY2822:230:481:1546
Travis DermottTOR3022:140:441:3252
TJ BrodieTOR2321:050:551:4325
Justin HollTOR2821:020:452:0855
Zach HymanTOR2521:010:501:3446
Andrew MangiapaneCGY2820:290:441:1937
Sean MonahanCGY2419:420:491:3961
John TavaresTOR2319:010:501:2054
Johnny GaudreauCGY2318:440:491:2661
Matthew TkachukCGY2417:280:441:2144
Mikael BacklundCGY2317:050:451:1815
William NylanderTOR2316:190:431:0953
Sam BennettCGY1916:040:511:4521
Alexander KerfootTOR1915:120:481:2623
Juuso VälimäkiCGY1714:030:501:3403
Ilya MikheyevTOR2113:190:381:1701
Dillon DubeCGY1613:130:501:1913
Milan LucicCGY1612:580:491:1913
Pierre EngvallTOR1912:490:401:1002
Zach BogosianTOR1712:390:451:0903
Jason SpezzaTOR1411:530:512:0833
Jimmy VeseyTOR1711:200:401:2311
Travis BoydTOR1211:020:551:2340
Oliver KylingtonCGY1410:050:431:2810
Mikko LehtonenTOR139:500:451:1911
Alexander BarabanovTOR128:480:441:1330
Joakim NordstromCGY138:170:381:1113
Josh LeivoCGY95:300:371:1710
Glenn GawdinCGY64:110:421:3710