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Ice Lab

Thu, Feb 25, 2021·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Carolina Hurricanes 1, Tampa Bay Lightning 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 74% of the time.

TBL winsCAR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Shift data for this game has gaps, so treat the charts as approximate.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CAR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Fast–Aho–SvechnikovNiederreiter–Trocheck–NecasMartinook–Paquette–LorentzStaal–McGinn–FoegeleNiederreiter–Lorentz–NecasSkjei–PesceHamilton–SlavinFleury–BeanPesce–BeanSkjei–SlavinSlavin–PesceSlavin–FleurySlavin–BeanHamilton–Skjei
Killorn–Stamkos–Johnson1:590.08–0.194:170.02–0.190:500.04–0.001:230.00–0.123:430.11–0.211:510.00–0.071:130.00–0.100:420.04–0.00
Goodrow–Gourde–Joseph2:020.00–0.150:590.16–0.064:370.21–0.242:180.19–0.112:460.14–0.191:250.02–0.14
Maroon–Smith–Volkov1:580.02–0.004:140.00–0.310:330.00–0.332:280.05–0.381:560.00–0.140:460.00–0.110:310.02–0.000:550.00–0.00
Palat–Coleman–Point4:060.10–0.141:290.00–0.041:490.10–0.122:050.00–0.030:410.00–0.000:480.00–0.040:420.00–0.00
Hedman–Sergachev2:380.10–0.041:020.00–0.061:040.00–0.041:290.07–0.110:350.04–0.003:000.10–0.112:390.08–0.101:010.04–0.00
McDonagh–Rutta2:290.00–0.161:280.02–0.000:400.00–0.000:470.07–0.121:170.00–0.171:560.07–0.120:410.00–0.000:380.00–0.000:360.02–0.000:420.00–0.000:420.00–0.00
Sergachev–Foote0:310.00–0.141:330.18–0.002:070.05–0.171:360.03–0.043:140.27–0.091:150.00–0.250:350.05–0.00
Hedman–Rutta1:170.08–0.000:580.00–0.031:480.04–0.021:050.09–0.211:140.08–0.002:110.00–0.06
McDonagh–Cernak0:430.00–0.120:430.00–0.001:260.09–0.000:590.00–0.120:410.07–0.000:460.02–0.00
McDonagh–Foote1:040.00–0.160:310.00–0.000:300.00–0.030:550.00–0.10
Sergachev–Rutta0:520.00–0.120:330.00–0.330:330.00–0.331:070.00–0.12
Hedman–Foote0:470.02–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndJohnson FKillorn FStamkos FJoseph FGoodrow FGourde FPalat FColeman FPoint FMaroon FSmith FVolkov FHedman DCernak DSergachev DMcDonagh DFoote DRutta DMcElhinney GTrocheck FNiederreiter FNecas FStaal FFoegele FMcGinn FAho FSvechnikov FFast FPaquette FMartinook FLorentz FPesce DSkjei DFleury DBean DHamilton DSlavin DReimer G
TBLCARFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Victor HedmanTBL2826:470:572:5093
Mikhail SergachevTBL3124:190:471:4464
Brett PesceCAR2923:490:492:0528
Jaccob SlavinCAR2622:560:531:5564
Dougie HamiltonCAR2222:221:012:3382
Brady SkjeiCAR2721:490:481:41212
Sebastian AhoCAR2721:290:482:07102
Ryan McDonaghTBL2521:180:512:0727
Alex KillornTBL2420:180:511:35102
Jordan StaalCAR2620:120:472:07108
Jan RuttaTBL2119:280:562:0744
Andrei SvechnikovCAR2218:240:502:07101
Vincent TrocheckCAR2018:180:552:1135
Yanni GourdeTBL2217:470:491:3857
Blake ColemanTBL2417:350:442:0721
Brayden PointTBL2217:060:471:2842
Steven StamkosTBL1916:540:531:2873
Barclay GoodrowTBL1815:300:522:0734
Ondrej PalatTBL2215:280:421:3151
Tyler JohnsonTBL1714:270:511:2841
Jordan MartinookCAR1714:020:501:1921
Martin NecasCAR2114:000:401:3335
Jesper FastCAR2013:430:411:2141
Brock McGinnCAR2113:360:391:1748
Patrick MaroonTBL1713:220:471:1621
Nino NiederreiterCAR1712:290:441:2814
Jake BeanCAR1712:260:441:0961
Mathieu JosephTBL1511:180:451:3835
Warren FoegeleCAR1810:570:371:0233
Steven LorentzCAR1610:490:411:1931
Cal FooteTBL1310:210:481:2851
Cedric PaquetteCAR149:480:421:1611
Gemel SmithTBL129:030:451:1622
Alexander VolkovTBL139:030:421:1623
Haydn FleuryCAR158:480:351:0412
Erik CernakTBL138:240:391:2804