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Ice Lab

Sat, Feb 27, 2021·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Dallas Stars 0, Tampa Bay Lightning 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 57% of the time.

TBL winsDAL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against DAL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Pavelski–Benn–HintzComeau–Cogliano–FaksaPavelski–Dickinson–KivirantaBenn–Hintz–GurianovDickinson–Gurianov–RobertsonComeau–Cogliano–DickinsonDowling–Caamano–RobertsonComeau–Faksa–KivirantaDowling–Caamano–KivirantaDickinson–Hintz–RobertsonOleksiak–HeiskanenKlingberg–LindellSekera–PysykLindell–HeiskanenKlingberg–OleksiakSekera–KlingbergOleksiak–LindellKlingberg–HeiskanenPysyk–Lindell
Maroon–Joseph–Volkov1:000.00–0.061:170.00–0.001:050.06–0.031:420.05–0.070:590.11–0.001:250.11–0.072:360.00–0.061:440.05–0.180:510.06–0.030:590.00–0.101:090.00–0.000:530.00–0.00
Killorn–Stamkos–Cirelli2:000.00–0.051:070.00–0.320:450.00–0.022:210.00–0.000:300.05–0.002:170.00–0.041:330.00–0.052:530.07–0.001:290.05–0.000:300.00–0.00
Coleman–Goodrow–Gourde3:310.06–0.001:390.11–0.020:400.00–0.000:540.00–0.082:240.00–0.021:070.11–0.082:240.01–0.001:230.00–0.000:570.05–0.00
Johnson–Palat–Point0:530.06–0.000:320.00–0.001:400.00–0.040:480.04–0.001:190.05–0.000:340.00–0.000:500.06–0.041:090.04–0.000:420.00–0.00
Palat–Coleman–Point1:120.00–0.130:480.08–0.001:080.08–0.040:440.00–0.00
Johnson–Goodrow–Gourde1:040.00–0.000:550.00–0.000:340.00–0.00
Hedman–Rutta1:360.00–0.000:490.00–0.062:480.00–0.020:370.00–0.001:090.11–0.040:350.00–0.000:320.04–0.000:560.05–0.100:420.08–0.002:590.13–0.043:120.00–0.061:000.00–0.001:010.00–0.001:240.10–0.031:130.00–0.10
McDonagh–Cernak3:460.06–0.002:380.11–0.020:360.00–0.082:380.00–0.102:180.11–0.083:220.08–0.181:270.00–0.000:390.05–0.00
Sergachev–Foote2:580.06–0.041:060.08–0.001:270.03–0.040:390.05–0.002:010.08–0.041:510.00–0.012:120.09–0.040:570.05–0.000:450.00–0.00
Hedman–Sergachev0:300.00–0.000:460.05–0.000:340.00–0.000:300.00–0.00
McDonagh–Rutta0:380.00–0.00
Cernak–Sergachev0:300.00–0.00
McDonagh–Foote0:300.00–0.000:410.00–0.00
Hedman–Foote0:310.03–0.00
Sergachev–Rutta0:460.00–0.090:330.05–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndJohnson FGoodrow FGourde FKillorn FCirelli FStamkos FPoint FPalat FColeman FVolkov FMaroon FJoseph FRutta DHedman DMcDonagh DCernak DFoote DSergachev DVasilevskiy GCogliano FFaksa FComeau FPavelski FDickinson FKiviranta FBenn FHintz FGurianov FRobertson FCaamano FDowling FKlingberg DLindell DOleksiak DHeiskanen DSekera DPysyk DKhudobin GOettinger G
TBLDALFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Miro HeiskanenDAL2924:170:501:2762
Victor HedmanTBL3023:540:481:3722
John KlingbergDAL2723:370:521:4821
Ryan McDonaghTBL2622:030:511:3615
Erik CernakTBL2620:490:482:0517
Mikhail SergachevTBL2920:450:431:1912
Esa LindellDAL2920:210:421:1911
Joe PavelskiDAL2319:400:511:2391
Roope HintzDAL2219:380:542:0524
Alex KillornTBL2518:260:441:3022
Jamie OleksiakDAL2318:120:471:2331
Yanni GourdeTBL2318:010:471:3915
Barclay GoodrowTBL2317:570:472:0518
Jan RuttaTBL2117:470:511:5402
Jamie BennDAL2217:290:481:2362
Jason DickinsonDAL2416:530:421:1621
Radek FaksaDAL2316:150:421:2522
Jason RobertsonDAL2116:140:461:3020
Andrew CoglianoDAL2316:100:421:3401
Blake ColemanTBL2215:560:431:3717
Anthony CirelliTBL2215:050:411:1923
Steven StamkosTBL2214:420:401:3016
Blake ComeauDAL2314:290:381:3412
Denis GurianovDAL2114:200:411:1621
Joel KivirantaDAL2013:280:401:1750
Andrej SekeraDAL2113:180:381:4403
Cal FooteTBL1612:520:481:1711
Alexander VolkovTBL1412:090:521:2200
Mark PysykDAL2011:580:361:2001
Patrick MaroonTBL1411:570:511:2200
Mathieu JosephTBL1511:500:471:2200
Brayden PointTBL1511:140:451:1921
Justin DowlingDAL1610:550:411:2530
Ondrej PalatTBL1410:100:441:1931
Nick CaamanoDAL159:100:371:3301
Tyler JohnsonTBL159:090:371:0710