Mon, Mar 1, 2021·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
Calgary Flames 1, Ottawa Senators 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 77% of the time.
70%
16%
OTT winsCGY wins
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 22:52 | 0.22 | 39.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 22:20 | 0.09 | 47.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:20 | 0.03 | 57.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 21:16 | 0.12 | 42.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 20:49 | 0.27 | 49.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 20:45 | 0.16 | 46.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 20:44 | 0.13 | 52.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 20:16 | 0.25 | 55.7% | +13.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 6 | 20:05 | 0.20 | 49.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:47 | 0.00 | 56.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 14:09 | 0.03 | 32.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 13:44 | 0.00 | 20.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:30 | 0.01 | 16.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 13:06 | 0.23 | 22.6% | +13.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 11:01 | 0.08 | 12.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:38 | 0.00 | 31.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 7:06 | 0.10 | 24.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:38 | 0.00 | 41.6% | 0.0 |
| L | 35 | 31 | 4 | .886 | 2.96 | −1.0 | 59:54 |
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 23:18 | 0.07 | 51.3% | +0.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 2 | 22:09 | 0.04 | 57.9% | +0.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 21:26 | 0.06 | 58.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18:57 | 0.52 | 48.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 18:11 | 0.16 | 52.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 17:52 | 0.38 | 69.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 | 17:49 | 0.06 | 64.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 16:58 | 0.05 | 57.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 16:55 | 0.14 | 56.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:50 | 0.00 | 65.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 15:56 | 0.88 | 54.3% | +1.2 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 14:53 | 0.17 | 78.6% | +28.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 14:21 | 0.31 | 42.8% | +0.1 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 13:55 | 0.08 | 60.1% | +33.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 13:49 | 0.25 | 67.0% | +14.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 12:45 | 0.14 | 81.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:32 | 0.00 | 37.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 7:44 | 0.21 | 84.6% | +19.5 |
| W | 28 | 27 | 1 | .964 | 1.95 | +0.9 | 60:00 |