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Ice Lab

Mon, Mar 1, 2021·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa

Calgary Flames 1, Ottawa Senators 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 77% of the time.

OTT winsCGY wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

OTT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CGY's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Backlund–Mangiapane–TkachukGaudreau–Lindholm–MonahanLucic–Bennett–DubeNordstrom–Leivo–SimonNordstrom–Leivo–BennettTanev–HanifinGiordano–AnderssonNesterov–VälimäkiNesterov–HanifinAndersson–VälimäkiTanev–Välimäki
Tierney–Brown–Tkachuk1:310.01–0.009:030.46–0.262:360.14–0.006:410.18–0.331:210.07–0.000:350.10–0.00
Dadonov–Paul–White6:360.24–0.542:040.11–0.000:340.18–0.005:310.13–0.491:320.14–0.051:260.00–0.041:530.29–0.00
Norris–Batherson–Stützle1:570.00–0.021:270.05–0.034:490.28–0.100:400.00–0.061:310.00–0.021:010.00–0.062:270.28–0.091:130.00–0.001:100.08–0.031:120.00–0.01
Anisimov–Watson–Peca2:340.02–0.000:300.00–0.022:370.00–0.022:160.02–0.021:570.00–0.000:490.00–0.001:080.00–0.02
Watson–Paul–White0:550.03–0.00
Norris–Batherson–Tkachuk0:540.10–0.000:590.12–0.00
Brown–Norris–Tkachuk0:330.00–0.000:460.00–0.00
Chabot–Zaitsev1:360.09–0.0011:250.46–0.540:580.06–0.000:350.00–0.000:370.00–0.004:400.19–0.137:050.22–0.441:190.00–0.000:530.08–0.001:190.05–0.030:560.10–0.00
Coburn–Gudbranson6:090.14–0.371:060.09–0.113:450.23–0.012:310.18–0.113:390.10–0.373:020.14–0.014:000.15–0.212:340.29–0.000:470.02–0.000:550.00–0.01
Reilly–Zub4:590.07–0.190:410.00–0.003:060.13–0.081:300.00–0.024:370.02–0.222:260.06–0.061:280.24–0.031:080.00–0.000:580.00–0.02
Gudbranson–Chabot0:310.10–0.000:410.11–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndPaul FWhite FDadonov FBrown FTierney FTkachuk FNorris FStützle FBatherson FWatson FAnisimov FPeca FZub DReilly DZaitsev DChabot DGudbranson DCoburn DMurray GBacklund FTkachuk FMangiapane FGaudreau FLindholm FMonahan FLucic FDube FBennett FNordstrom FLeivo FSimon FTanev DHanifin DAndersson DGiordano DNesterov DVälimäki DRittich G
OTTCGYFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Nikita ZaitsevOTT2723:180:521:4736
Rasmus AnderssonCGY2922:520:471:28102
Noah HanifinCGY3022:200:451:4621
Thomas ChabotOTT2522:090:531:4734
Erik GudbransonOTT2621:260:492:0434
Chris TanevCGY3021:200:431:4024
Johnny GaudreauCGY2521:160:511:2291
Matthew TkachukCGY2420:490:521:3762
Sean MonahanCGY2520:450:501:2593
Elias LindholmCGY2620:440:481:1393
Mikael BacklundCGY2520:160:491:2843
Mark GiordanoCGY2520:050:481:4083
Andrew MangiapaneCGY2519:470:471:2843
Connor BrownOTT2518:570:451:5729
Chris TierneyOTT2518:110:441:0829
Brady TkachukOTT2117:520:512:0847
Mike ReillyOTT2417:490:451:2012
Braydon CoburnOTT2316:580:441:3342
Nick PaulOTT2916:550:351:0844
Artem ZubOTT2416:500:421:0812
Colin WhiteOTT2615:560:371:4743
Drake BathersonOTT2014:530:451:3931
Evgenii DadonovOTT2014:210:431:3942
Juuso VälimäkiCGY1914:090:451:5711
Tim StützleOTT2013:550:421:3921
Josh NorrisOTT2213:490:381:0722
Nikita NesterovCGY1613:440:521:4301
Dillon DubeCGY1813:300:451:2102
Milan LucicCGY1813:060:441:1102
Austin WatsonOTT2212:450:350:5922
Sam BennettCGY1711:010:391:2102
Matthew PecaOTT128:320:431:0211
Artem AnisimovOTT137:440:360:5911
Joakim NordstromCGY107:380:461:1101
Josh LeivoCGY107:060:431:1100
Dominik SimonCGY75:380:481:2000