Tue, Mar 23, 2021·American Airlines Center, Dallas
Tampa Bay Lightning 2, Dallas Stars 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 51% of the time.
41%
10%
11%
38%
DAL winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 26:05 | 0.34 | 60.0% | +18.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 23:56 | 0.08 | 57.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 20:36 | 0.13 | 59.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:33 | 0.03 | 50.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:37 | 0.03 | 88.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:20 | 0.09 | 82.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:05 | 0.00 | 50.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16:30 | 0.28 | 55.5% | +18.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16:14 | 0.04 | 50.7% | +18.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 15:20 | 0.06 | 76.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:52 | 0.08 | 76.6% | +25.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:13 | 0.10 | 73.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:05 | 0.10 | 75.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13:55 | 0.33 | 81.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:52 | 0.00 | 65.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:49 | 0.00 | 35.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:35 | 0.16 | 35.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:24 | 0.09 | 38.2% | 0.0 |
| W | 17 | 16 | 1 | .941 | 2.07 | +1.1 | 60:00 |
Dallas Stars
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 27:10 | 0.26 | 56.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24:16 | 0.47 | 34.0% | +13.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 23:51 | 0.14 | 31.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:03 | 0.03 | 34.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 21:21 | 0.00 | 37.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 20:34 | 0.19 | 48.5% | +13.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18:20 | 0.50 | 78.3% | +13.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:56 | 0.01 | 44.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:28 | 0.14 | 23.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:55 | 0.00 | 44.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:19 | 0.18 | 49.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:08 | 0.00 | 40.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:07 | 0.08 | 29.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:36 | 0.02 | 64.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:18 | 0.00 | 41.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:27 | 0.05 | 57.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:17 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:50 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 26 | 24 | 2 | .923 | 1.95 | 0.0 | 58:06 |