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Ice Lab

Wed, Mar 31, 2021·Bell MTS Place, Winnipeg

Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Winnipeg Jets 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 76% of the time.

WPG winsTOR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

WPG forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Hyman–Marner–MatthewsTavares–Galchenyuk–NylanderSimmonds–Engvall–MikheyevThornton–Spezza–KerfootKerfoot–Engvall–MikheyevMuzzin–HollBrodie–RiellyBogosian–DermottMuzzin–BogosianHoll–RiellyBogosian–Brodie
Scheifele–Ehlers–Connor1:020.00–0.375:050.07–0.371:530.10–0.030:490.00–0.005:550.02–0.223:220.38–0.000:510.00–0.370:390.00–0.03
Lowry–Copp–Appleton4:570.02–0.001:410.00–0.331:360.00–0.002:530.02–0.332:150.00–0.00
Thompson–Lewis–Perreault0:360.00–0.002:250.08–0.011:080.03–0.002:320.09–0.010:350.00–0.00
Wheeler–Stastny–Dubois1:340.00–1.071:410.09–0.001:480.09–0.001:040.00–1.07
Stastny–Copp–Dubois0:420.00–0.000:540.00–0.040:340.00–0.000:320.00–0.000:480.00–0.04
Perreault–Lowry–Appleton0:340.00–0.001:200.01–0.000:420.01–0.00
Stastny–Scheifele–Dubois0:570.18–0.001:030.18–0.00
Stastny–Copp–Appleton
Forbort–Pionk6:500.02–0.421:530.00–0.180:310.00–0.002:010.01–0.010:300.01–0.005:390.02–0.003:130.04–0.013:480.00–0.42
Poolman–Morrissey1:440.00–0.006:050.07–0.524:170.02–0.194:450.28–0.540:540.00–0.000:470.00–0.00
DeMelo–Stanley1:140.00–0.004:140.28–0.002:080.07–0.002:570.02–0.033:350.19–0.002:010.18–0.00
Stanley–Pionk0:430.00–0.000:550.00–0.00
Morrissey–Pionk0:520.00–0.000:310.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndCopp FLowry FAppleton FStastny FWheeler FDubois FEhlers FScheifele FConnor FLewis FThompson FPerreault FPoolman DMorrissey DPionk DForbort DDeMelo DStanley DHellebuyck GGalchenyuk FNylander FTavares FHyman FMarner FMatthews FSimmonds FEngvall FMikheyev FKerfoot FSpezza FThornton FHoll DMuzzin DRielly DBrodie DBogosian DDermott DCampbell G
WPGTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Justin HollTOR2325:231:063:2723
Josh MorrisseyWPG2724:000:532:3131
Jake MuzzinTOR2523:560:572:2524
Mark ScheifeleWPG2323:401:022:5151
Neal PionkWPG2322:571:001:5643
Mitch MarnerTOR2422:120:561:3755
Kyle ConnorWPG2221:561:002:5150
Andrew CoppWPG2221:200:582:0675
Morgan RiellyTOR2320:460:541:3731
TJ BrodieTOR2520:110:482:0622
Paul StastnyWPG1819:291:052:3131
Auston MatthewsTOR2019:230:581:4054
Zach HymanTOR2219:210:532:1136
Derek ForbortWPG2119:100:551:3344
Nikolaj EhlersWPG2218:570:522:5151
John TavaresTOR2018:090:541:3032
William NylanderTOR2016:180:491:2832
Adam LowryWPG2216:030:441:2165
Tucker PoolmanWPG2016:020:481:2611
Pierre-Luc DuboisWPG1715:110:541:5730
Alex GalchenyukTOR2015:060:451:1112
Dylan DeMeloWPG1814:330:491:2116
Zach BogosianTOR2013:530:421:2024
Logan StanleyWPG1713:120:471:2115
Ilya MikheyevTOR1913:080:411:2322
Alexander KerfootTOR1912:210:391:2151
Mason AppletonWPG1411:590:511:3362
Mathieu PerreaultWPG2011:450:351:0422
Jason SpezzaTOR1811:350:391:1655
Joe ThorntonTOR1510:550:441:1141
Pierre EngvallTOR1610:490:411:2022
Wayne SimmondsTOR1510:420:431:2012
Nate ThompsonWPG169:130:351:2814
Trevor LewisWPG159:010:361:0614
Travis DermottTOR127:580:401:2623
Blake WheelerWPG55:181:041:4201