Fri, Apr 2, 2021·Bell MTS Place, Winnipeg
Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Winnipeg Jets 1 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 68% of the time.
25%
8%
60%
WPG winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 25:39 | 0.07 | 59.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 23:15 | 0.68 | 64.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 22:58 | 0.22 | 60.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:44 | 0.33 | 72.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:37 | 0.12 | 74.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:47 | 0.05 | 60.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20:18 | 0.69 | 52.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:41 | 0.00 | 59.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 19:29 | 0.58 | 38.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:00 | 0.09 | 56.7% | +22.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:19 | 0.21 | 68.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 14:08 | 0.05 | 46.9% | +22.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:00 | 0.10 | 63.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:50 | 0.08 | 40.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:50 | 0.13 | 61.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:25 | 0.06 | 58.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:17 | 0.13 | 70.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11:02 | 0.04 | 60.7% | +22.6 |
| W | 32 | 31 | 1 | .969 | 2.52 | +1.5 | 65:00 |
Winnipeg Jets
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24:50 | 0.05 | 57.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24:34 | 0.00 | 23.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23:22 | 0.03 | 58.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:29 | 0.03 | 25.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20:43 | 0.24 | 47.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 20:22 | 0.47 | 49.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 20:08 | 0.32 | 15.2% | +24.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 18:46 | 0.10 | 23.9% | +24.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:45 | 0.07 | 46.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:18 | 0.25 | 25.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:43 | 0.17 | 26.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 15:21 | 0.03 | 22.2% | +24.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 15:05 | 0.12 | 31.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:02 | 0.00 | 49.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:00 | 0.06 | 47.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:04 | 0.09 | 75.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:03 | 0.18 | 82.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:44 | 0.32 | 78.1% | 0.0 |
| O | 38 | 37 | 1 | .974 | 3.62 | +2.6 | 65:00 |