Wed, Apr 7, 2021·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Montréal Canadiens 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 65% of the time.
57%
8%
9%
26%
TOR winsMTL wins
Montréal Canadiens
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 25:58 | 0.20 | 40.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 23:18 | 0.05 | 20.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21:01 | 0.03 | 42.5% | +13.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 19:36 | 0.01 | 39.2% | +13.4 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 18:18 | 0.44 | 43.1% | +19.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:59 | 0.28 | 47.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:31 | 0.02 | 36.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:15 | 0.26 | 34.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 17:04 | 0.14 | 29.1% | +6.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16:52 | 0.21 | 32.6% | +6.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:24 | 0.11 | 46.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:50 | 0.08 | 53.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:49 | 0.23 | 32.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:37 | 0.03 | 41.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:53 | 0.01 | 43.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:46 | 0.14 | 44.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:11 | 0.06 | 24.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:11 | 0.00 | 19.7% | 0.0 |
| L | 32 | 29 | 3 | .906 | 3.20 | +0.2 | 57:32 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23:18 | 0.27 | 66.4% | +12.5 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 23:03 | 0.20 | 59.7% | +25.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 22:42 | 0.04 | 59.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22:23 | 0.14 | 57.1% | +25.5 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 21:21 | 0.51 | 64.3% | +25.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:54 | 0.00 | 51.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 20:46 | 0.04 | 58.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 17:07 | 0.52 | 72.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:52 | 0.12 | 71.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 14:29 | 0.17 | 69.7% | +13.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13:37 | 0.53 | 68.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:14 | 0.01 | 83.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:20 | 0.21 | 57.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:18 | 0.21 | 53.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 12:11 | 0.00 | 40.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 11:41 | 0.16 | 40.9% | +25.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 9:34 | 0.05 | 63.6% | +25.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:16 | 0.00 | 66.8% | 0.0 |
| W | 34 | 32 | 2 | .941 | 2.30 | +0.3 | 59:54 |