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Ice Lab

Sat, Apr 10, 2021·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville

Tampa Bay Lightning 3, Nashville Predators 0

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 74% of the time.

NSH winsTBL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

NSH forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Palat–Point–CirelliColeman–Goodrow–GourdeKillorn–Johnson–JosephKillorn–Maroon–ColtonMaroon–Coleman–ColtonKillorn–Palat–PointKillorn–Maroon–CirelliMaroon–Gourde–ColtonMaroon–Cirelli–ColtonHedman–CernakMcDonagh–FooteThomas–SergachevMcDonagh–SergachevHedman–SergachevMcDonagh–CernakHedman–ThomasHedman–FooteMcDonagh–Thomas
Johansen–Grimaldi–Arvidsson2:590.56–0.023:030.06–0.001:110.05–0.001:180.00–0.056:350.41–0.110:370.00–0.000:520.25–0.001:030.00–0.001:030.38–0.00
Jarnkrok–Granlund–Kunin3:070.00–0.282:280.18–0.083:120.26–0.000:390.12–0.001:510.03–0.085:350.34–0.240:590.00–0.231:400.12–0.00
Haula–Cousins–Pitlick2:560.20–0.022:520.10–0.002:120.00–0.062:110.02–0.001:290.10–0.022:460.08–0.001:090.00–0.000:530.10–0.00
Sissons–McCarron–Trenin1:470.03–0.110:410.00–0.001:290.00–0.110:590.00–0.050:420.00–0.041:190.00–0.031:500.03–0.042:240.10–0.110:430.00–0.11
Haula–Cousins–Sissons0:530.05–0.000:530.05–0.00
Josi–Benning2:410.38–0.094:450.30–0.061:190.03–0.000:320.00–0.051:330.09–0.050:450.00–0.044:210.08–0.073:130.18–0.132:420.36–0.000:440.09–0.000:420.38–0.000:450.00–0.04
Ellis–Ekholm4:480.28–0.171:000.01–0.043:290.28–0.083:060.30–0.164:290.23–0.011:460.06–0.080:550.00–0.040:430.07–0.01
Harpur–Davies2:200.03–0.071:180.02–0.002:120.03–0.061:240.00–0.050:590.03–0.003:360.05–0.051:100.03–0.001:190.00–0.260:570.03–0.161:180.00–0.000:360.00–0.03
Josi–Ellis1:000.10–0.001:190.12–0.000:530.10–0.00
Josi–Davies1:330.02–0.001:100.00–0.000:560.02–0.00
Benning–Harpur0:360.00–0.000:420.00–0.041:100.00–0.210:360.00–0.00
Josi–Ekholm0:560.00–0.020:410.00–0.00
Ekholm–Benning0:310.00–0.00
Josi–Harpur0:530.05–0.001:100.05–0.03
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndKunin FJarnkrok FGranlund FGrimaldi FArvidsson FJohansen FPitlick FCousins FHaula FMcCarron FSissons FTrenin FBenning DJosi DEllis DEkholm DHarpur DDavies DRinne GGoodrow FColeman FGourde FPalat FPoint FCirelli FJoseph FJohnson FKillorn FColton FMaroon FMcDonagh DFoote DHedman DCernak DThomas DSergachev DVasilevskiy G
NSHTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Roman JosiNSH2827:350:592:1983
Victor HedmanTBL2825:430:551:4918
Ryan McDonaghTBL2823:070:501:2863
Erik CernakTBL3022:440:451:2129
Mikhail SergachevTBL2421:370:542:4412
Mattias EkholmNSH2420:560:521:5333
Mikael GranlundNSH2119:530:572:2352
Ryan EllisNSH2619:430:461:4214
Blake ColemanTBL2419:430:491:2116
Viktor ArvidssonNSH2019:290:581:5343
Matt BenningNSH2319:120:501:3626
Ryan JohansenNSH2118:510:541:4853
Brayden PointTBL2018:390:562:0352
Erik HaulaNSH2118:220:521:3030
Ondrej PalatTBL2118:040:521:4842
Barclay GoodrowTBL2218:020:491:3817
Anthony CirelliTBL2017:470:531:2643
Yanni GourdeTBL2317:440:461:2525
Alex KillornTBL2117:260:501:3704
Calle JarnkrokNSH1916:590:541:4842
Ben HarpurNSH1915:100:481:1123
Cal FooteTBL1815:080:501:3940
Rocco GrimaldiNSH1915:040:481:1742
Luke KuninNSH2014:590:451:0841
Nick CousinsNSH1914:460:471:3030
Jeremy DaviesNSH1713:390:481:2131
Tyler JohnsonTBL1813:270:451:2831
Mathieu JosephTBL1613:070:491:1900
Patrick MaroonTBL1512:230:501:2150
Colton SissonsNSH1912:170:391:0713
Rem PitlickNSH1210:230:521:2120
Ben ThomasTBL1310:070:471:1121
Ross ColtonTBL139:120:421:0640
Yakov TreninNSH129:030:451:0601
Michael McCarronNSH139:000:421:1101