Mon, Apr 12, 2021·Centre Bell, Montreal
Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Montréal Canadiens 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 72% of the time.
65%
20%
MTL winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24:30 | 0.08 | 20.8% | +13.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 23:55 | 0.32 | 45.3% | +13.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 22:32 | 0.10 | 42.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 5 | 22:27 | 0.53 | 52.9% | +13.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 22:21 | 0.04 | 43.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 20:05 | 0.60 | 60.2% | +22.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 19:35 | 0.41 | 72.2% | +22.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:08 | 0.00 | 40.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:24 | 0.13 | 59.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15:11 | 0.00 | 62.0% | +22.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:34 | 0.00 | 14.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:04 | 0.01 | 77.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:03 | 0.27 | 15.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:44 | 0.00 | 6.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:27 | 0.02 | 65.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:09 | 0.00 | 69.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:11 | 0.02 | 63.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:34 | 0.00 | 9.1% | 0.0 |
| L | 24 | 21 | 3 | .875 | 2.67 | −0.3 | 57:48 |
Montréal Canadiens
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 26:46 | 0.01 | 45.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 25:40 | 0.05 | 33.7% | +6.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 21:13 | 0.03 | 57.2% | +12.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19:06 | 0.72 | 58.3% | +22.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 18:32 | 0.10 | 47.8% | +13.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:12 | 0.80 | 46.7% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 17:01 | 0.87 | 54.6% | +19.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:08 | 0.00 | 47.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:50 | 0.18 | 78.5% | +12.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 14:34 | 0.02 | 83.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 14:31 | 0.24 | 42.4% | +19.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14:20 | 0.02 | 58.9% | +22.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 13:44 | 0.33 | 45.6% | +12.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:03 | 0.00 | 70.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:28 | 0.00 | 87.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:17 | 0.22 | 21.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:12 | 0.21 | 28.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:23 | 0.10 | 69.1% | 0.0 |
| W | 25 | 23 | 2 | .920 | 2.54 | +0.5 | 60:00 |