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Ice Lab

Thu, Apr 15, 2021·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Winnipeg Jets 5, Toronto Maple Leafs 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 64% of the time.

TOR winsWPG wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against WPG's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Scheifele–Connor–DuboisStastny–Copp–EhlersPerreault–Lowry–AppletonThompson–Lewis–HarkinsScheifele–Copp–EhlersForbort–PionkPoolman–MorrisseyDeMelo–HeinolaDeMelo–Poolman
Tavares–Galchenyuk–Marner6:110.62–0.271:340.00–0.121:040.00–0.087:150.08–0.471:240.61–0.000:510.00–0.00
Hyman–Kerfoot–Mikheyev1:090.05–0.004:590.05–0.290:450.00–0.000:580.04–0.000:510.10–0.003:190.22–0.004:350.02–0.290:460.00–0.00
Thornton–Simmonds–Engvall0:520.00–0.001:440.10–0.102:540.06–0.000:430.04–0.004:290.11–0.002:290.10–0.000:300.00–0.10
Spezza–Brooks–Robertson0:530.02–0.001:470.02–0.002:380.05–0.001:120.02–0.003:560.07–0.00
Tavares–Marner–Robertson0:380.00–0.001:370.00–0.02
Kerfoot–Engvall–Mikheyev1:340.03–0.030:330.00–0.00
Hyman–Engvall–Mikheyev
Brodie–Rielly3:560.55–0.004:520.09–0.281:490.05–0.072:220.00–0.080:480.10–0.006:200.23–0.085:030.60–0.362:330.03–0.00
Muzzin–Holl6:090.20–0.302:380.03–0.371:210.02–0.001:550.09–0.106:510.04–0.414:050.03–0.112:140.26–0.17
Bogosian–Dermott0:510.00–0.002:170.10–0.024:190.06–0.002:560.04–0.011:080.02–0.022:520.08–0.006:110.10–0.010:500.00–0.00
Bogosian–Brodie1:450.03–0.001:090.00–0.00
Rielly–Dermott0:350.00–0.000:400.05–0.000:440.00–0.000:370.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndGalchenyuk FMarner FTavares FHyman FKerfoot FMikheyev FSimmonds FEngvall FThornton FBrooks FSpezza FRobertson FHoll DMuzzin DRielly DBrodie DBogosian DDermott DCampbell GRittich GDubois FScheifele FConnor FCopp FStastny FEhlers FLowry FAppleton FPerreault FThompson FHarkins FLewis FPionk DForbort DPoolman DMorrissey DDeMelo DHeinola DHellebuyck G
TORWPGFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Morgan RiellyTOR2324:291:042:5004
Derek ForbortWPG2523:340:572:5111
Neal PionkWPG2523:070:552:0121
Mitch MarnerTOR2220:560:573:0031
John TavaresTOR2320:490:542:4731
Josh MorrisseyWPG2320:220:531:4825
TJ BrodieTOR2419:560:501:3714
Jake MuzzinTOR2719:480:441:1325
Zach HymanTOR2319:400:511:2123
Tucker PoolmanWPG2219:260:531:4315
Mark ScheifeleWPG2219:220:531:4821
Andrew CoppWPG2419:170:481:4215
Dylan DeMeloWPG2219:040:521:2603
Kyle ConnorWPG2117:400:501:4423
Alex GalchenyukTOR1817:220:582:3731
Alexander KerfootTOR2216:400:451:1923
Justin HollTOR2416:150:411:1825
Zach BogosianTOR1915:570:501:3211
Paul StastnyWPG1815:270:521:2312
Nikolaj EhlersWPG1815:200:511:4212
Adam LowryWPG1915:110:482:0824
Pierre-Luc DuboisWPG1914:440:471:2622
Joe ThorntonTOR1814:420:491:0720
Ilya MikheyevTOR1914:390:461:2112
Wayne SimmondsTOR1814:360:491:1830
Travis DermottTOR1614:220:541:2621
Nick RobertsonTOR1814:190:481:0731
Jason SpezzaTOR2312:590:341:2324
Ville HeinolaWPG1712:340:441:1221
Trevor LewisWPG1812:280:420:5921
Pierre EngvallTOR1612:170:461:1930
Mason AppletonWPG1512:150:491:0922
Nate ThompsonWPG1812:080:401:0921
Mathieu PerreaultWPG1510:560:441:0252
Jansen HarkinsWPG139:100:421:1221
Adam BrooksTOR118:240:461:0711