Thu, Oct 14, 2021·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit
Tampa Bay Lightning 7, Detroit Red Wings 6 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 55% of the time.
37%
48%
DET winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 25:51 | 0.27 | 65.2% | +107.7 | |
| 1 | 3 | 4 | +1 | 8 | 24:43 | 0.57 | 96.3% | +34.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 22:27 | 0.26 | 96.0% | +52.8 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −3 | 3 | 21:56 | 0.17 | 21.3% | +19.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 21:45 | 0.36 | 28.6% | +40.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:41 | 0.29 | 62.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 20:59 | 0.15 | 82.1% | +2.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 18:59 | 0.00 | 38.1% | +40.2 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 18:14 | 0.88 | 49.7% | +27.8 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 15:40 | 0.53 | 64.6% | +59.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 14:35 | 0.02 | 52.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 12:09 | 0.01 | 47.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 11:51 | 0.14 | 60.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 11:03 | 0.37 | 48.2% | +2.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 10:52 | 0.24 | 83.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:06 | 0.03 | 15.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7:34 | 0.40 | 17.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 7:31 | 0.00 | 33.4% | 0.0 |
| W | 26 | 20 | 6 | .769 | 4.26 | −1.7 | 62:07 |
Detroit Red Wings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25:09 | 0.00 | 32.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 22:43 | 0.00 | 19.6% | +17.1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 4 | +3 | 4 | 21:43 | 0.97 | 53.1% | +37.9 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 20:21 | 0.00 | 29.4% | +26.1 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19:30 | 0.31 | 42.4% | +27.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 19:00 | 0.03 | 34.3% | +13.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 18:36 | 0.92 | 19.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:27 | 0.11 | 52.0% | +5.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 16:11 | 0.13 | 40.9% | +21.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 16:08 | 0.00 | 72.7% | +6.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16:03 | 0.26 | 46.9% | +6.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15:27 | 0.06 | 43.7% | +4.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:19 | 0.10 | 60.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:14 | 0.27 | 53.1% | +4.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 3 | 11:39 | 0.79 | 68.8% | +21.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 11:12 | 0.24 | 50.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:01 | 0.05 | 54.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:34 | 0.00 | 42.9% | 0.0 |
| O | 48 | 41 | 7 | .854 | 4.69 | −2.3 | 62:43 |