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Ice Lab

Thu, Nov 4, 2021·Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle

Buffalo Sabres 2, Seattle Kraken 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Seattle Kraken win this game 90% of the time.

SEA winsBUF wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

SEA forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Skinner–Asplund–ThompsonHinostroza–Caggiula–CozensOkposo–Eakin–GirgensonsHayden–Bjork–RuotsalainenEakin–Hinostroza–CaggiulaButcher–DahlinPysyk–HaggMiller–Bryson
Schwartz–Donskoi–Wennberg2:130.07–0.073:190.19–0.000:430.07–0.443:130.10–0.112:550.18–0.02
Jarnkrok–Gourde–Tanev4:460.50–0.020:550.02–0.020:460.01–0.003:550.50–0.001:040.00–0.041:460.04–0.00
Sheahan–McCormick–Bastian1:540.00–0.001:460.21–0.000:350.00–0.071:370.04–0.070:350.00–0.002:100.17–0.00
Eberle–Donato–Geekie0:370.10–0.001:040.02–0.001:380.02–0.002:010.12–0.001:130.02–0.00
Eberle–Schwartz–Wennberg0:570.06–0.001:070.08–0.000:330.00–0.001:040.10–0.021:330.08–0.00
Donskoi–Donato–Geekie0:460.00–0.021:030.00–0.040:440.00–0.001:240.00–0.02
Sheahan–Tanev–Bastian1:180.03–0.060:320.01–0.021:230.03–0.060:320.01–0.02
Jarnkrok–Sheahan–Tanev1:040.00–0.000:370.00–0.00
Fleury–Dunn3:530.70–0.033:330.12–0.001:340.00–0.074:470.65–0.153:210.16–0.002:170.01–0.02
Larsson–Lauzon5:070.03–0.062:450.05–0.020:500.17–0.404:040.03–0.002:530.02–0.042:470.19–0.42
Giordano–Oleksiak1:030.00–0.002:060.09–0.022:160.14–0.062:070.03–0.044:070.14–0.041:280.00–0.071:490.12–0.02
Larsson–Oleksiak1:510.05–0.001:030.00–0.00
Giordano–Dunn0:470.03–0.001:210.10–0.00
Larsson–Dunn0:420.09–0.000:430.00–0.000:480.09–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndTanev FJarnkrok FGourde FSchwartz FDonskoi FWennberg FBastian FSheahan FMcCormick FEberle FDonato FGeekie FGiordano DOleksiak DLarsson DLauzon DFleury DDunn DGrubauer GSkinner FThompson FAsplund FEakin FOkposo FGirgensons FCozens FHinostroza FCaggiula FRuotsalainen FHayden FBjork FButcher DDahlin DMiller DBryson DHagg DPysyk DTokarski G
SEABUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Rasmus DahlinBUF2524:521:002:2463
Adam LarssonSEA2424:401:022:4234
Will ButcherBUF2722:250:502:4663
Colin MillerBUF2822:240:481:3977
Yanni GourdeSEA2721:190:472:0672
Jacob BrysonBUF2720:120:451:3857
Jeff SkinnerBUF2320:110:531:3881
Drake CaggiulaBUF2320:090:531:3835
Alexander WennbergSEA2419:420:491:2145
Vince DunnSEA2319:420:511:3852
Jaden SchwartzSEA2219:370:541:2842
Tage ThompsonBUF2319:210:501:3881
Rasmus AsplundBUF2219:190:531:4981
Joonas DonskoiSEA2318:570:491:2056
Vinnie HinostrozaBUF2418:230:461:1734
Mark GiordanoSEA2318:000:472:4971
Jamie OleksiakSEA2217:230:472:4833
Calle JarnkrokSEA2616:430:391:2163
Jeremy LauzonSEA2316:390:431:1534
Brandon TanevSEA2416:080:401:1532
Dylan CozensBUF2115:590:461:2453
Haydn FleurySEA2115:480:451:3533
Mark PysykBUF2115:090:431:2106
Jordan EberleSEA2015:040:452:4670
Kyle OkposoBUF2114:420:421:2736
Robert HaggBUF1914:290:461:4406
Morgan GeekieSEA1913:570:441:2871
Zemgus GirgensonsBUF1913:120:421:2037
Ryan DonatoSEA1512:180:493:1370
Riley SheahanSEA1610:380:401:1215
Cody EakinBUF159:250:381:1104
Nathan BastianSEA138:090:380:5413
Anders BjorkBUF157:430:311:2514
Arttu RuotsalainenBUF156:430:270:5714
Max McCormickSEA105:270:330:4713
John HaydenBUF124:490:240:4404