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Ice Lab

Tue, Feb 22, 2022·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa

Minnesota Wild 3, Ottawa Senators 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 54% of the time.

OTT winsMIN wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

OTT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against MIN's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Gaudreau–Fiala–BoldyFoligno–Hartman–KaprizovGreenway–Eriksson Ek–DuhaimeBjugstad–Dewar–SturmHartman–Fiala–KaprizovGaudreau–Kaprizov–BoldyBjugstad–Duhaime–DewarKulikov–BrodinGoligoski–SpurgeonMerrill–AddisonSpurgeon–BrodinGoligoski–KulikovKulikov–MerrillGoligoski–MerrillGoligoski–Addison
Brown–Paul–Sanford0:300.00–0.006:440.20–0.161:050.01–0.000:380.00–0.034:390.20–0.073:090.00–0.110:330.00–0.00
Watson–Kastelic–Kelly3:040.08–0.051:100.00–0.131:100.00–0.060:590.01–0.000:360.02–0.001:520.05–0.002:330.00–0.143:360.06–0.19
Gaudette–Tkachuk–Stützle1:070.05–0.072:510.00–0.201:190.00–0.342:290.07–0.141:370.00–0.061:550.00–0.400:330.00–0.07
Ennis–Tierney–Formenton3:070.42–0.221:060.09–0.000:390.11–0.001:180.42–0.072:430.20–0.081:440.12–0.14
Ennis–Tierney–Gaudette0:370.00–0.000:460.08–0.000:460.08–0.00
Chabot–Zub4:060.10–0.151:140.09–0.084:420.09–0.201:030.00–0.000:460.00–0.000:370.00–0.005:500.10–0.215:100.09–0.232:460.12–0.070:400.00–0.00
Holden–Zaitsev2:530.39–0.355:360.16–0.070:480.00–0.060:470.11–0.031:450.08–0.050:430.02–0.006:190.62–0.074:310.19–0.461:430.23–0.000:490.00–0.000:380.00–0.07
Brown–Brannstrom2:340.01–0.141:530.00–0.130:550.01–0.002:300.05–0.341:320.18–0.071:430.00–0.064:140.05–0.590:340.01–0.00
Holden–Chabot1:030.00–0.00
Chabot–Brannstrom0:320.02–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndSanford FPaul FBrown FTkachuk FGaudette FStützle FFormenton FEnnis FTierney FWatson FKelly FKastelic FHolden DZaitsev DZub DChabot DBrown DBrannstrom DForsberg GFoligno FHartman FKaprizov FDuhaime FGreenway FEriksson Ek FFiala FBoldy FGaudreau FSturm FBjugstad FDewar FBrodin DKulikov DSpurgeon DGoligoski DMerrill DAddison DTalbot G
OTTMINFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Thomas ChabotOTT2424:351:011:4861
Jared SpurgeonMIN2623:300:541:3947
Nick HoldenOTT2622:360:521:5905
Jonas BrodinMIN2322:130:581:5213
Kevin FialaMIN2222:031:001:4940
Connor BrownOTT2221:480:592:0054
Dmitry KulikovMIN2420:490:521:3213
Artem ZubOTT2320:150:531:5121
Kirill KaprizovMIN2020:151:011:3632
Nikita ZaitsevOTT2620:120:471:3104
Alex GoligoskiMIN2118:350:531:2815
Matt BoldyMIN1818:331:021:2740
Joel Eriksson EkMIN2118:310:531:2455
Marcus FolignoMIN2118:220:521:3317
Nick PaulOTT2218:170:501:3235
Frederick GaudreauMIN2017:450:531:3501
Zachary SanfordOTT2117:090:491:3633
Ryan HartmanMIN1817:050:571:2611
Tim StützleOTT2316:540:441:3960
Brady TkachukOTT2416:120:411:4070
Jon MerrillMIN1716:030:571:2612
Alex FormentonOTT1814:510:501:5204
Erik BrannstromOTT1814:370:491:3432
Calen AddisonMIN1713:570:491:1001
Joshua BrownOTT1813:050:441:3503
Austin WatsonOTT2013:030:391:3405
Jordan GreenwayMIN1712:570:461:1031
Tyler EnnisOTT1512:430:511:5522
Adam GaudetteOTT1912:270:391:0741
Chris TierneyOTT1511:560:481:1213
Mark KastelicOTT1511:430:471:4303
Parker KellyOTT1711:370:411:2103
Brandon DuhaimeMIN1610:380:401:0733
Connor DewarMIN138:310:390:5902
Nick BjugstadMIN117:410:421:2111
Nico SturmMIN116:300:351:0812