Tue, Jan 11, 2022·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Tampa Bay Lightning 6, Buffalo Sabres 1
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 76% of the time.
15%
10%
8%
67%
BUF winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 22:27 | 0.02 | 74.2% | +15.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:32 | 0.00 | 63.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 20:18 | 0.01 | 79.2% | +10.1 | |
| 3 | 0 | 3 | +3 | 7 | 18:48 | 0.48 | 77.6% | +13.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 18:25 | 0.04 | 91.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 18:17 | 0.04 | 84.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 2 | 17:48 | 0.17 | 86.9% | +16.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 17:21 | 0.37 | 74.7% | +10.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 1 | 16:50 | 0.02 | 89.5% | +10.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 1 | 16:44 | 0.10 | 73.0% | +16.8 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 2 | 16:26 | 0.12 | 77.3% | +14.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:43 | 0.19 | 89.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13:45 | 0.25 | 87.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 13:33 | 0.07 | 73.8% | +3.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:40 | 0.06 | 77.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:31 | 0.11 | 75.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11:50 | 0.28 | 96.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 8:12 | 0.28 | 57.8% | +10.0 |
| W | 18 | 17 | 1 | .944 | 1.24 | +0.2 | 60:00 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 21:17 | 0.02 | 19.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 19:55 | 0.05 | 27.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 19:19 | 0.01 | 25.9% | +0.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 18:46 | 0.02 | 22.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 18:34 | 0.03 | 10.4% | +0.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 18:07 | 0.06 | 18.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 17:59 | 0.02 | 14.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 17:09 | 0.36 | 33.0% | +0.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:33 | 0.06 | 25.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 16:30 | 0.10 | 28.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 16:00 | 0.00 | 22.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 15:49 | 0.04 | 28.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:04 | 0.17 | 1.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:55 | 0.05 | 40.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:09 | 0.19 | 27.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:52 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 12:34 | 0.05 | 9.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 9:55 | 0.00 | 23.5% | 0.0 |
| L | 9 | 7 | 2 | .778 | 0.78 | −1.2 | 20:00 | |
| – | 27 | 23 | 4 | .852 | 1.84 | −2.2 | 39:34 |