Thu, Mar 3, 2022·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Pittsburgh Penguins 5, Tampa Bay Lightning 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 76% of the time.
17%
70%
TBL winsPIT wins
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 23:36 | 0.22 | 39.0% | +0.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22:35 | 0.11 | 38.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 20:50 | 0.10 | 64.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19:34 | 0.21 | 35.0% | +14.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 19:34 | 0.08 | 79.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 19:25 | 0.98 | 36.9% | +14.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 17:37 | 0.63 | 35.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 6 | 17:06 | 0.38 | 74.1% | +30.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:19 | 0.24 | 80.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 16:14 | 0.00 | 73.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:49 | 0.37 | 74.0% | +15.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:54 | 0.37 | 78.1% | +15.9 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 14:42 | 0.46 | 82.2% | +15.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 13:57 | 0.00 | 60.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 13:53 | 0.11 | 74.1% | +10.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:15 | 0.20 | 50.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:09 | 0.07 | 46.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:31 | 0.08 | 52.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 21 | 20 | 1 | .952 | 2.82 | +1.8 | 60:00 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 23:51 | 0.07 | 41.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 23:26 | 0.04 | 30.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:56 | 0.02 | 53.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:08 | 0.10 | 47.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 20:18 | 0.54 | 32.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 19:35 | 0.22 | 22.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 17:32 | 0.06 | 30.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:11 | 0.04 | 33.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15:31 | 0.60 | 65.9% | +16.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 15:29 | 0.10 | 22.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15:18 | 0.43 | 62.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:43 | 0.00 | 30.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:24 | 0.00 | 43.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12:06 | 0.17 | 68.7% | +16.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:58 | 0.00 | 65.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:58 | 0.04 | 27.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:41 | 0.29 | 70.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:12 | 0.08 | 53.1% | 0.0 |
| L | 39 | 35 | 4 | .897 | 3.85 | −0.2 | 58:43 |