Thu, Mar 3, 2022·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Pittsburgh Penguins 5, Tampa Bay Lightning 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 76% of the time.
17%
70%
TBL winsPIT wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against PIT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Crosby–Rust–Guentzel | Malkin–Kapanen–Heinen | Carter–McGinn–Rodrigues | Boyle–Simon–Aston-Reese | Pettersson–Marino | Letang–Dumoulin | Ruhwedel–Friedman | Dumoulin–Friedman | Dumoulin–Ruhwedel | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palat–Kucherov–Point | 6:210.61–0.35 | 3:010.00–0.12 | 1:180.00–0.65 | 5:180.19–0.77 | 6:320.41–0.30 | ||||
| Perry–Maroon–Bellemare | 3:380.81–0.14 | 1:290.00–0.15 | 1:160.00–0.06 | 1:350.00–0.02 | 0:590.00–0.00 | 2:170.25–0.08 | 3:260.00–0.15 | 0:430.17–0.14 | |
| Killorn–Stamkos–Cirelli | 2:350.07–0.09 | 3:130.02–0.00 | 0:530.00–0.14 | 2:370.02–0.09 | 1:450.07–0.19 | 2:310.00–0.00 | |||
| Cirelli–Raddysh–Colton | 2:570.21–0.00 | 1:450.00–0.09 | 2:470.03–0.17 | 0:460.19–0.00 | 1:240.00–0.00 | ||||
| Joseph–Raddysh–Colton | 0:350.00–0.14 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 1:390.47–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 2:000.44–0.14 | 0:370.00–0.00 | ||
| Killorn–Stamkos–Joseph | 1:140.05–0.33 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 1:190.00–0.02 | 0:340.11–0.04 | 0:520.05–0.31 | ||||
| Stamkos–Palat–Kucherov | 1:060.00–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.08 | 1:240.00–0.08 | 0:580.00–0.00 | |||||
| Kucherov–Point–Colton | 0:320.00–0.03 | 0:500.00–0.00 | 0:500.00–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.03 | |||||
| Bellemare–Joseph–Raddysh | 0:380.00–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Killorn–Stamkos–Colton | 0:420.00–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.00 | |||||||
| McDonagh–Cernak | 8:491.02–0.49 | 4:040.03–0.43 | 0:440.00–0.05 | 4:060.19–0.22 | 5:420.26–0.24 | 3:320.03–0.34 | 0:430.17–0.14 | ||
| Hedman–Rutta | 1:390.00–0.07 | 3:520.07–0.32 | 1:370.00–0.08 | 1:490.44–0.05 | 2:480.00–0.21 | 3:420.63–0.15 | 3:150.00–0.22 | 1:010.00–0.00 | |
| Sustr–Sergachev | 4:390.00–0.06 | 3:430.03–0.20 | 3:460.03–0.18 | 2:230.00–0.08 | 2:020.00–0.00 | ||||
| Hedman–Sergachev | 0:510.00–0.20 | 2:520.05–0.02 | 1:520.00–0.28 | 3:090.00–0.30 | 1:400.00–0.20 | 1:220.05–0.00 | |||
| Cernak–Sergachev | 0:530.00–0.03 | 1:200.21–0.00 | 1:220.03–0.00 | 0:590.19–0.03 | |||||
| Hedman–Cernak | 0:330.43–0.00 | 0:460.00–0.14 | 1:420.43–0.14 | ||||||
| Sergachev–Rutta | 0:360.00–0.00 | 1:150.00–0.08 | 1:150.00–0.08 | 0:360.00–0.00 | |||||
| McDonagh–Sergachev | 0:550.02–0.00 | 0:550.02–0.00 | 0:320.04–0.07 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TBLPITFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Victor HedmanTBL | 23 | 23:51 | 1:02 | 1:43 | 2 | 5 |
 Kris LetangPIT | 27 | 23:36 | 0:52 | 1:38 | 5 | 3 |
 Mikhail SergachevTBL | 26 | 23:26 | 0:54 | 2:31 | 3 | 3 |
 Erik CernakTBL | 25 | 22:56 | 0:55 | 2:29 | 2 | 5 |
 Brian DumoulinPIT | 28 | 22:35 | 0:48 | 1:38 | 6 | 2 |
 Ryan McDonaghTBL | 23 | 21:08 | 0:55 | 1:38 | 0 | 5 |
 John MarinoPIT | 29 | 20:50 | 0:43 | 1:26 | 3 | 5 |
 Nikita KucherovTBL | 21 | 20:18 | 0:58 | 1:46 | 2 | 5 |
 Steven StamkosTBL | 21 | 19:35 | 0:56 | 1:24 | 3 | 10 |
 Sidney CrosbyPIT | 24 | 19:34 | 0:49 | 1:45 | 4 | 2 |
 Marcus PetterssonPIT | 27 | 19:34 | 0:43 | 1:06 | 4 | 3 |
 Jake GuentzelPIT | 25 | 19:25 | 0:47 | 2:07 | 4 | 2 |
 Bryan RustPIT | 23 | 17:37 | 0:46 | 1:38 | 4 | 2 |
 Brayden PointTBL | 19 | 17:32 | 0:55 | 1:46 | 1 | 4 |
 Evgeni MalkinPIT | 23 | 17:06 | 0:45 | 1:20 | 11 | 0 |
 Jeff CarterPIT | 25 | 16:19 | 0:39 | 1:05 | 4 | 6 |
 Chad RuhwedelPIT | 26 | 16:14 | 0:37 | 1:00 | 7 | 0 |
 Ondrej PalatTBL | 20 | 16:11 | 0:49 | 1:24 | 2 | 4 |
 Brock McGinnPIT | 24 | 15:49 | 0:40 | 1:05 | 3 | 6 |
 Pierre-Edouard BellemareTBL | 19 | 15:31 | 0:49 | 2:10 | 2 | 5 |
 Alex KillornTBL | 21 | 15:29 | 0:44 | 1:13 | 2 | 7 |
 Ross ColtonTBL | 19 | 15:18 | 0:48 | 1:42 | 3 | 4 |
 Evan RodriguesPIT | 21 | 14:54 | 0:43 | 1:20 | 3 | 4 |
 Anthony CirelliTBL | 21 | 14:43 | 0:42 | 1:42 | 3 | 7 |
 Danton HeinenPIT | 20 | 14:42 | 0:44 | 1:24 | 9 | 0 |
 Jan RuttaTBL | 18 | 14:24 | 0:48 | 1:42 | 1 | 5 |
 Mark FriedmanPIT | 21 | 13:57 | 0:40 | 1:13 | 8 | 1 |
 Kasperi KapanenPIT | 20 | 13:53 | 0:42 | 1:08 | 9 | 0 |
 Patrick MaroonTBL | 18 | 12:06 | 0:40 | 1:14 | 1 | 3 |
 Corey PerryTBL | 16 | 11:58 | 0:45 | 1:17 | 1 | 2 |
 Brian BoylePIT | 17 | 11:15 | 0:40 | 1:07 | 3 | 1 |
 Zachary Aston-ReesePIT | 17 | 11:09 | 0:39 | 1:06 | 3 | 1 |
 Andrej SustrTBL | 13 | 10:58 | 0:51 | 1:23 | 1 | 1 |
 Taylor RaddyshTBL | 15 | 10:41 | 0:43 | 1:42 | 3 | 1 |
 Mathieu JosephTBL | 16 | 10:12 | 0:38 | 1:19 | 3 | 3 |
 Dominik SimonPIT | 14 | 9:31 | 0:41 | 1:07 | 3 | 1 |