Sun, Mar 13, 2022·Tim Hortons Field, HamiltonOutdoor game
Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Buffalo Sabres 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 59% of the time.
Play-by-play
Model-basedEvery event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.
- P1 0:00Period start
- P1 1:23Shot by Nylander, saved by Anderson
- P1 2:54Shot by Pysyk, saved by Mrazek
- P1 3:24Shot by Skinner, saved by Mrazek
- P1 5:19Shot by Hinostroza, saved by Mrazek
- P1 6:02Shot by Rielly, saved by Anderson
- P1 6:31Shot by Skinner, saved by Mrazek
- P1 9:53Shot by Marner, saved by Anderson
- P1 10:05Shot by Dahlin, saved by Mrazek
- P1 10:17Shot by Jokiharju, saved by Mrazek
- P1 10:18Shot by Dahlin, saved by Mrazek
- P1 11:59Shot by Okposo, saved by Mrazek
- P1 12:19Shot by Olofsson, saved by Mrazek
- P1 12:26Shot by Olofsson, saved by Mrazek
- P1 13:14Shot by Kase, saved by Anderson
- P1 13:48Shot by Tuch, saved by Mrazek
- P1 14:31Shot by Rielly, saved by Anderson
- P1 14:39Shot by Mikheyev, saved by Anderson
- P1 15:21Shot by Matthews, saved by Anderson
- P1 17:06Shot by Tuch, saved by Mrazek
- P1 17:15Shot by Tuch, saved by Mrazek
- P1 18:04Shot by Kampf, saved by Anderson
- P1 18:04Engvall: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: BUF Hinostroza, Jokiharju, Dahlin, Krebs, Cozens · TOR Brodie, Holl, Engvall, Kampf, Mikheyev
- P1 18:04Hinostroza: Roughing (2 min)5v4
On ice: BUF Hinostroza, Jokiharju, Dahlin, Krebs, Cozens · TOR Brodie, Holl, Engvall, Kampf, Mikheyev
- P1 18:04Jokiharju: Roughing (2 min)4v4
On ice: BUF Hinostroza, Jokiharju, Dahlin, Krebs, Cozens · TOR Brodie, Holl, Engvall, Kampf, Mikheyev
- P1 18:30Shot by Thompson, saved by Mrazek4v5
- P1 19:20Shot by Matthews, saved by Anderson4v5
- P1 0:00Period end4v5
- P2 0:00Period start
- P2 0:36Shot by Matthews, saved by Anderson
- P2 0:39Shot by Nylander, saved by Anderson
- P2 0:40Goal by Kase (Nylander, Tavares)+17 pts WP
On ice: BUF Okposo, Olofsson, Mittelstadt, Bryson, Samuelsson · TOR Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Kase, Liljegren
- P2 1:22Goal by Krebs (Hinostroza, Hagg)+17 pts WP
On ice: BUF Pysyk, Hinostroza, Hagg, Krebs, Cozens · TOR Tavares, Rielly, Liljegren, Kampf, Mikheyev
- P2 1:40Shot by Lyubushkin, saved by Anderson
- P2 2:44Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Anderson
- P2 2:57Goal by Matthews (Kerfoot, Brodie)+18 pts WP
On ice: BUF Hayden, Asplund, Thompson, Jokiharju, Dahlin · TOR Simmonds, Brodie, Holl, Kerfoot, Matthews
- P2 3:46Shot by Skinner, saved by Mrazek
- P2 5:52Shot by Simmonds, saved by Anderson
- P2 5:53Hayden: Hooking (2 min)
On ice: BUF Eakin, Hayden, Asplund, Bryson, Samuelsson · TOR Spezza, Simmonds, Brodie, Holl, Kerfoot
- P2 6:05Shot by Nylander, saved by Anderson4v5
- P2 6:26Shot by Marner, saved by Anderson4v5
- P2 7:10Shot by Mikheyev, saved by Anderson4v5
- P2 7:27Shot by Cozens, saved by Mrazek4v5
- P2 8:12Shot by Holl, saved by Anderson
- P2 9:27Shot by Dahlin, saved by Mrazek
- P2 10:53Goal by Hinostroza (Thompson, Samuelsson)+22 pts WP
On ice: BUF Hinostroza, Thompson, Jokiharju, Dahlin, Krebs · TOR Brodie, Holl, Bunting, Marner, Matthews
- P2 13:00Shot by Tavares, saved by Anderson
- P2 14:12Shot by Rielly, saved by Anderson
- P2 15:38Shot by Mikheyev, saved by Anderson
- P2 15:50Shot by Hinostroza, saved by Mrazek
- P2 16:37Shot by Matthews, saved by Anderson
- P2 16:55Shot by Eakin, saved by Mrazek
- P2 16:59Shot by Jokiharju, saved by Mrazek
- P2 17:43Shot by Spezza, saved by Anderson
- P2 18:11Shot by Rielly, saved by Anderson
- P2 18:28Shot by Marner, saved by Anderson
- P2 18:35Lyubushkin: Hooking (2 min)
On ice: BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Bryson, Samuelsson · TOR Rielly, Bunting, Marner, Matthews, Lyubushkin
- P2 18:42Shot by Thompson, saved by Mrazek5v4
- P2 0:00Period end5v4
- P3 0:00Period start
- P3 0:57Shot by Tavares, saved by Anderson
- P3 1:25Shot by Marner, saved by Anderson
- P3 1:38Liljegren: Tripping (2 min)
On ice: BUF Okposo, Olofsson, Mittelstadt, Bryson, Samuelsson · TOR Bunting, Marner, Matthews, Liljegren, Sandin
- P3 2:20Shot by Kampf, saved by Anderson5v4
- P3 3:38Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Mrazek5v4
- P3 4:41Shot by Rielly, saved by Anderson
- P3 4:58Shot by Thompson, saved by Mrazek
- P3 5:16Goal by Hinostroza, unassisted+27 pts WP
On ice: BUF Hinostroza, Bryson, Samuelsson, Krebs, Cozens · TOR Rielly, Bunting, Marner, Matthews, Sandin
- P3 6:30Shot by Dahlin, saved by Mrazek
- P3 7:02Shot by Tavares, saved by Anderson
- P3 8:47Shot by Asplund, saved by Mrazek
- P3 8:49Brodie: Hooking (2 min)
On ice: BUF Eakin, Pysyk, Hayden, Hagg, Asplund · TOR Brodie, Holl, Engvall, Kampf, Mikheyev
- P3 9:47Shot by Skinner, saved by Mrazek5v4
- P3 9:49Shot by Skinner, saved by Mrazek5v4
- P3 9:58Shot by Mikheyev, saved by Anderson5v4
- P3 11:49Shot by Hinostroza, saved by Mrazek
- P3 12:42Shot by Skinner, saved by Mrazek
- P3 12:50Shot by Engvall, saved by Anderson
- P3 13:44Shot by Okposo, saved by Mrazek
- P3 13:49Goal by Krebs (Cozens, Okposo)+12 pts WP
On ice: BUF Okposo, Bryson, Samuelsson, Krebs, Cozens · TOR Tavares, Holl, Rielly, Nylander, Kase
- P3 14:36Shot by Jokiharju, saved by Mrazek
- P3 14:55Matthews: Cross checking (2 min)
On ice: BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Jokiharju, Dahlin · TOR Brodie, Holl, Bunting, Marner, Matthews
- P3 14:55Dahlin: Cross checking (2 min)5v4
On ice: BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Jokiharju, Dahlin · TOR Brodie, Holl, Bunting, Marner, Matthews
- P3 16:09Shot by Marner, saved by Anderson4v5
- P3 16:41Okposo: Tripping (2 min)4v5
On ice: BUF Okposo, Thompson, Jokiharju, Samuelsson · TOR Spezza, Rielly, Bunting, Kase, Marner
- P3 17:23Shot by Rielly, saved by Anderson4v6
- P3 17:35Goal by Thompson, unassisted4v6+1 pts WP
On ice: BUF Hagg, Tuch, Thompson, Samuelsson · TOR Spezza, Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Marner, Matthews
- P3 18:17Bunting: Roughing (2 min)4v5
On ice: BUF Pysyk, Hagg, Thompson, Cozens · TOR Bunting, Kase, Matthews, Sandin, Mikheyev
- P3 18:17Bunting: Misconduct (10 min)4v4
On ice: BUF Pysyk, Hagg, Thompson, Cozens · TOR Bunting, Kase, Matthews, Sandin, Mikheyev
- P3 18:17Thompson: Misconduct (10 min)4v4
On ice: BUF Pysyk, Hagg, Thompson, Cozens · TOR Bunting, Kase, Matthews, Sandin, Mikheyev
- P3 18:17Cozens: Misconduct (10 min)4v4
On ice: BUF Pysyk, Hagg, Thompson, Cozens · TOR Bunting, Kase, Matthews, Sandin, Mikheyev
- P3 18:17Mikheyev: Misconduct (10 min)4v4
On ice: BUF Pysyk, Hagg, Thompson, Cozens · TOR Bunting, Kase, Matthews, Sandin, Mikheyev
- P3 18:51Shot by Tuch, saved by Mrazek5v4
- P3 19:12Shot by Dahlin, saved by Mrazek5v4
- P3 0:00Period end5v4
- P3 0:00Final