Sun, Mar 13, 2022·Tim Hortons Field, HamiltonOutdoor game
Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Buffalo Sabres 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 59% of the time.
51%
8%
33%
BUF winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Morgan RiellyD · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 6 | 25:29 | 0.25 | 47.5% | 0.0 |
 Justin HollD · #3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 23:09 | 0.04 | 39.6% | 0.0 |
 TJ BrodieD · #78 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22:13 | 0.00 | 54.0% | +18.3 |
 Mitch MarnerRW · #16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 5 | 20:51 | 0.67 | 62.9% | 0.0 |
 Auston MatthewsC · #34 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 5 | 20:26 | 0.77 | 62.7% | +18.3 |
 William NylanderRW · #88 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 18:25 | 0.31 | 31.2% | +17.3 |
 John TavaresC · #91 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 3 | 17:54 | 0.16 | 32.5% | +17.3 |
 Rasmus SandinD · #38 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:08 | 0.01 | 48.9% | 0.0 |
 Michael BuntingLW · #58 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 16:02 | 0.17 | 60.4% | 0.0 |
 Ilya LyubushkinD · #46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:47 | 0.01 | 53.0% | 0.0 |
 Ondrej KaseRW · #25 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15:12 | 0.33 | 32.0% | +17.3 |
 David KampfC · #64 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:15 | 0.21 | 50.4% | 0.0 |
 Ilya MikheyevRW · #65 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 12:52 | 0.29 | 49.0% | 0.0 |
 Alexander KerfootC · #15 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:08 | 0.13 | 54.6% | +18.3 |
 Jason SpezzaC · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:50 | 0.06 | 45.8% | 0.0 |
 Pierre EngvallLW · #47 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:50 | 0.09 | 51.7% | 0.0 |
 Timothy LiljegrenD · #37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:25 | 0.01 | 54.4% | 0.0 |
 Wayne SimmondsRW · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 8:52 | 0.07 | 49.3% | 0.0 |
 Petr Mrazek#35 | L | 37 | 33 | 4 | .892 | 3.36 | −0.6 | 58:29 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Henri JokiharjuD · #10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 25:03 | 0.06 | 44.0% | 0.0 |
 Rasmus DahlinD · #26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 23:47 | 0.33 | 45.3% | 0.0 |
 Mattias SamuelssonD · #23 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 20:59 | 0.00 | 53.1% | +21.8 |
 Tage ThompsonC · #72 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 18:38 | 0.86 | 49.7% | +22.5 |
 Alex TuchRW · #89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 18:32 | 0.39 | 49.5% | 0.0 |
 Jeff SkinnerLW · #53 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 18:07 | 0.57 | 47.7% | 0.0 |
 Jacob BrysonD · #78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 17:18 | 0.00 | 53.4% | 0.0 |
 Kyle OkposoRW · #21 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16:58 | 0.15 | 52.2% | +11.8 |
 Casey MittelstadtC · #37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:19 | 0.13 | 16.4% | 0.0 |
 Dylan CozensC · #24 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 1 | 15:42 | 0.07 | 72.8% | +11.8 |
 Robert HaggD · #8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 14:32 | 0.00 | 73.0% | +17.5 |
 Peyton KrebsC · #19 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +4 | 2 | 14:20 | 0.79 | 76.0% | +29.3 |
 Victor OlofssonLW · #71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:04 | 0.20 | 21.2% | 0.0 |
 Vinnie HinostrozaC · #29 | 2 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 5 | 13:48 | 0.20 | 47.2% | +66.6 |
 Mark PysykD · #13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 13:06 | 0.07 | 70.7% | 0.0 |
 Cody EakinC · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:37 | 0.02 | 63.3% | 0.0 |
 Rasmus AsplundC · #74 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 9:57 | 0.11 | 60.4% | 0.0 |
 John HaydenC · #15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:13 | 0.16 | 59.7% | 0.0 |
 Craig Anderson#41 | W | 36 | 34 | 2 | .944 | 3.59 | +1.6 | 60:00 |