Sun, Mar 13, 2022·Tim Hortons Field, HamiltonOutdoor game
Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Buffalo Sabres 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 59% of the time.
51%
8%
33%
BUF winsTOR wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Bunting–Marner–Matthews | Tavares–Nylander–Kase | Engvall–Kampf–Mikheyev | Spezza–Simmonds–Kerfoot | Tavares–Nylander–Matthews | Brodie–Holl | Rielly–Lyubushkin | Rielly–Liljegren | Sandin–Lyubushkin | Liljegren–Sandin | Holl–Rielly | Rielly–Sandin | Holl–Sandin | Brodie–Lyubushkin | Brodie–Sandin | Brodie–Rielly | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skinner–Tuch–Thompson | 6:460.52–0.61 | 2:360.13–0.05 | 0:450.00–0.01 | 3:090.06–0.17 | 2:030.19–0.31 | 1:390.24–0.00 | 1:010.00–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 0:500.02–0.13 | 0:550.09–0.13 | ||||||
| Hinostroza–Krebs–Cozens | 1:090.06–0.00 | 0:500.01–0.00 | 4:580.12–0.25 | 2:000.00–0.06 | 3:530.12–0.12 | 0:560.00–0.02 | 0:490.07–0.00 | 1:060.00–0.01 | 1:230.00–0.02 | 0:590.01–0.10 | 0:450.00–0.06 | 0:340.00–0.00 | ||||
| Okposo–Olofsson–Mittelstadt | 2:490.09–0.41 | 3:300.02–0.47 | 1:260.01–0.00 | 0:590.06–0.00 | 1:390.02–0.09 | 2:180.08–0.31 | 0:580.00–0.28 | 1:220.06–0.09 | 1:000.00–0.13 | 0:550.02–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 | |||||
| Eakin–Hayden–Asplund | 0:300.00–0.02 | 2:300.29–0.09 | 1:060.11–0.03 | 2:580.23–0.19 | 2:590.33–0.28 | 0:420.01–0.00 | 1:190.00–0.02 | 0:520.25–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.03 | 0:310.04–0.00 | ||||||
| Jokiharju–Dahlin | 5:410.42–0.45 | 3:370.38–0.12 | 2:410.00–0.24 | 1:320.01–0.13 | 3:360.06–0.46 | 1:520.09–0.08 | 3:260.24–0.08 | 1:210.31–0.00 | 0:570.00–0.09 | 1:280.03–0.23 | 1:030.09–0.07 | 0:530.04–0.04 | 0:380.02–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | ||
| Bryson–Samuelsson | 4:530.25–0.39 | 3:140.78–0.39 | 1:430.00–0.00 | 1:460.00–0.07 | 0:420.04–0.00 | 5:150.12–0.21 | 3:040.11–0.27 | 0:400.00–0.28 | 1:120.00–0.03 | 0:440.00–0.05 | 0:580.06–0.08 | 0:320.00–0.00 | ||||
| Pysyk–Hagg | 1:120.00–0.00 | 1:530.00–0.09 | 2:110.11–0.04 | 3:200.29–0.06 | 2:510.33–0.04 | 0:500.07–0.00 | 2:000.06–0.06 | 1:230.00–0.03 | 1:010.00–0.06 | 0:420.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Jokiharju–Samuelsson | 0:340.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||||
| Hagg–Samuelsson | 0:510.12–0.00 | |||||||||||||||
| Bryson–Dahlin | 0:470.01–0.00 | 0:480.01–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
BUFTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Morgan RiellyTOR | 31 | 25:29 | 0:49 | 2:01 | 5 | 4 |
 Henri JokiharjuBUF | 28 | 24:51 | 0:53 | 1:29 | 2 | 3 |
 Rasmus DahlinBUF | 28 | 23:35 | 0:51 | 1:25 | 5 | 0 |
 Justin HollTOR | 27 | 23:09 | 0:51 | 1:55 | 2 | 4 |
 TJ BrodieTOR | 27 | 22:13 | 0:49 | 1:55 | 1 | 4 |
 Mattias SamuelssonBUF | 28 | 20:59 | 0:45 | 1:36 | 4 | 4 |
 Mitch MarnerTOR | 26 | 20:51 | 0:48 | 1:46 | 6 | 2 |
 Auston MatthewsTOR | 23 | 20:26 | 0:53 | 1:56 | 4 | 1 |
 Tage ThompsonBUF | 24 | 18:38 | 0:47 | 1:20 | 2 | 3 |
 Alex TuchBUF | 23 | 18:32 | 0:48 | 1:23 | 2 | 2 |
 William NylanderTOR | 21 | 18:25 | 0:53 | 1:46 | 6 | 1 |
 Jeff SkinnerBUF | 19 | 18:07 | 0:57 | 1:49 | 2 | 1 |
 John TavaresTOR | 21 | 17:54 | 0:51 | 1:56 | 6 | 2 |
 Jacob BrysonBUF | 24 | 17:18 | 0:43 | 1:38 | 3 | 1 |
 Rasmus SandinTOR | 22 | 17:08 | 0:47 | 1:18 | 2 | 2 |
 Kyle OkposoBUF | 22 | 16:58 | 0:46 | 1:22 | 1 | 4 |
 Casey MittelstadtBUF | 20 | 16:19 | 0:49 | 1:22 | 2 | 2 |
 Michael BuntingTOR | 21 | 16:02 | 0:46 | 1:10 | 4 | 0 |
 Ilya LyubushkinTOR | 23 | 15:47 | 0:41 | 1:13 | 1 | 2 |
 Dylan CozensBUF | 18 | 15:42 | 0:52 | 1:11 | 5 | 1 |
 Ondrej KaseTOR | 22 | 15:02 | 0:41 | 1:36 | 5 | 1 |
 Robert HaggBUF | 18 | 14:32 | 0:48 | 2:01 | 2 | 1 |
 Peyton KrebsBUF | 17 | 14:20 | 0:51 | 1:11 | 7 | 0 |
 Victor OlofssonBUF | 16 | 14:04 | 0:53 | 1:49 | 0 | 1 |
 Vinnie HinostrozaBUF | 18 | 13:48 | 0:46 | 1:12 | 6 | 1 |
 David KampfTOR | 17 | 13:15 | 0:47 | 1:25 | 1 | 7 |
 Mark PysykBUF | 19 | 13:06 | 0:41 | 2:01 | 2 | 2 |
 Ilya MikheyevTOR | 18 | 12:52 | 0:43 | 0:57 | 1 | 5 |
 Alexander KerfootTOR | 17 | 12:08 | 0:43 | 1:01 | 2 | 1 |
 Cody EakinBUF | 16 | 11:37 | 0:44 | 1:05 | 1 | 2 |
 Jason SpezzaTOR | 15 | 10:50 | 0:43 | 1:50 | 3 | 0 |
 Pierre EngvallTOR | 16 | 10:50 | 0:41 | 1:12 | 0 | 5 |
 Timothy LiljegrenTOR | 18 | 10:35 | 0:35 | 1:09 | 2 | 3 |
 Rasmus AsplundBUF | 15 | 9:57 | 0:40 | 1:12 | 1 | 0 |
 John HaydenBUF | 12 | 9:13 | 0:46 | 1:12 | 1 | 1 |
 Wayne SimmondsTOR | 13 | 8:52 | 0:41 | 0:57 | 1 | 0 |