Fri, Mar 25, 2022·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Washington Capitals 4, Buffalo Sabres 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 70% of the time.
22%
63%
BUF winsWSH wins
Washington Capitals
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 6 | 25:36 | 0.72 | 57.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 25:10 | 0.02 | 46.6% | +18.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23:18 | 0.22 | 61.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21:10 | 0.38 | 65.6% | +24.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20:22 | 0.02 | 56.8% | +18.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 20:18 | 0.29 | 79.0% | +12.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 20:05 | 0.04 | 56.6% | +12.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 19:57 | 0.71 | 52.8% | +24.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19:19 | 0.34 | 63.6% | +18.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18:56 | 0.03 | 76.2% | +12.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:49 | 0.02 | 42.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:40 | 0.12 | 59.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:38 | 0.18 | 40.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 15:24 | 0.20 | 53.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10:10 | 0.05 | 59.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:13 | 0.08 | 48.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 8:38 | 0.15 | 49.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3:17 | 0.00 | 100.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 23 | 20 | 3 | .870 | 2.32 | −0.7 | 65:00 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 26:35 | 0.08 | 18.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 26:34 | 0.02 | 18.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21:13 | 0.00 | 55.2% | +21.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 20:48 | 0.00 | 38.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18:53 | 0.14 | 50.3% | +15.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:27 | 0.08 | 53.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17:56 | 0.28 | 51.3% | +23.7 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 17:30 | 0.58 | 45.0% | +36.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:47 | 0.21 | 25.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 15:11 | 0.02 | 48.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:00 | 0.15 | 33.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:38 | 0.00 | 19.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:25 | 0.01 | 67.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14:18 | 0.45 | 52.1% | +23.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:06 | 0.08 | 69.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:22 | 0.05 | 31.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12:57 | 0.16 | 52.1% | +23.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:20 | 0.00 | 42.6% | 0.0 |
| O | 40 | 37 | 3 | .925 | 3.56 | +0.6 | 65:00 |