Fri, Mar 25, 2022·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Washington Capitals 4, Buffalo Sabres 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 70% of the time.
22%
63%
BUF winsWSH wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against WSH's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Backstrom–Wilson–Mantha | Eller–Sheary–Hathaway | Ovechkin–Johansson–Kuznetsov | Johansson–Jonsson-Fjallby–McMichael | Wilson–Jonsson-Fjallby–McMichael | Mantha–Jonsson-Fjallby–McMichael | Ovechkin–Kuznetsov–Sheary | Backstrom–Mantha–Sheary | Orlov–Jensen | Carlson–Fehérváry | Schultz–Irwin | Schultz–Kempny | Carlson–Orlov | Schultz–Fehérváry | Schultz–Orlov | Orlov–Fehérváry | Carlson–Irwin | Jensen–Irwin | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olofsson–Asplund–Mittelstadt | 3:530.02–0.04 | 3:270.00–0.28 | 1:120.08–0.09 | 0:340.00–0.22 | 4:550.23–0.29 | 1:560.04–0.00 | 2:140.00–0.17 | 0:330.36–0.08 | 0:320.01–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Okposo–Eakin–Girgensons | 2:180.00–0.08 | 1:180.06–0.00 | 5:490.07–0.24 | 3:000.07–0.00 | 3:160.00–0.17 | 0:440.00–0.07 | 0:560.00–0.06 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 0:580.00–0.09 | |||||||||
| Skinner–Thompson–Cozens | 2:030.10–0.05 | 2:130.04–0.08 | 1:010.00–0.09 | 0:300.00–0.03 | 4:210.04–0.19 | 0:370.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Hinostroza–Tuch–Krebs | 2:040.11–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 0:470.00–0.07 | 2:090.11–0.15 | 1:250.04–0.00 | 0:530.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Skinner–Tuch–Thompson | 1:420.00–0.14 | 1:070.18–0.09 | 1:350.00–0.14 | 1:340.18–0.00 | ||||||||||||||
| Hinostroza–Krebs–Cozens | 1:080.03–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:520.00–0.00 | 1:330.05–0.12 | 0:380.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Jokiharju–Dahlin | 2:330.00–0.05 | 4:100.13–0.08 | 3:280.09–0.10 | 0:530.00–0.08 | 1:000.00–0.22 | 1:010.00–0.09 | 4:570.02–0.33 | 6:060.05–0.30 | 1:110.03–0.04 | 1:000.00–0.06 | 1:020.00–0.00 | 0:340.06–0.00 | ||||||
| Bryson–Samuelsson | 7:060.00–0.19 | 1:120.00–0.00 | 3:570.18–0.12 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:370.18–0.00 | 1:110.00–0.07 | 6:000.25–0.10 | 5:060.11–0.03 | 1:390.00–0.15 | 0:490.00–0.11 | 0:400.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Pysyk–Miller | 0:370.00–0.00 | 5:230.29–0.28 | 1:380.06–0.02 | 0:460.03–0.00 | 3:280.12–0.08 | 1:340.23–0.01 | 3:220.09–0.15 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 0:470.36–0.08 | ||||||||
| Jokiharju–Bryson | 0:350.00–0.09 | 0:400.00–0.09 | ||||||||||||||||
| Pysyk–Jokiharju | 0:350.00–0.06 | 0:350.00–0.06 | 0:330.00–0.01 | |||||||||||||||
| Bryson–Dahlin |
Every shift, one row per player.
BUFWSHFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Henri JokiharjuBUF | 37 | 26:35 | 0:43 | 1:18 | 2 | 3 |
 Rasmus DahlinBUF | 37 | 26:34 | 0:43 | 1:15 | 4 | 3 |
 John CarlsonWSH | 28 | 25:36 | 0:55 | 2:13 | 2 | 3 |
 Dmitry OrlovWSH | 27 | 25:10 | 0:56 | 1:59 | 0 | 4 |
 Martin FehérváryWSH | 28 | 23:18 | 0:50 | 1:42 | 4 | 6 |
 Mattias SamuelssonBUF | 29 | 21:13 | 0:44 | 1:42 | 1 | 3 |
 Evgeny KuznetsovWSH | 27 | 21:10 | 0:47 | 1:20 | 4 | 1 |
 Jacob BrysonBUF | 29 | 20:48 | 0:43 | 1:11 | 1 | 2 |
 Nick JensenWSH | 23 | 20:22 | 0:53 | 2:01 | 1 | 3 |
 Anthony ManthaWSH | 24 | 20:18 | 0:51 | 1:42 | 2 | 2 |
 Tom WilsonWSH | 25 | 20:05 | 0:48 | 2:24 | 1 | 2 |
 Alex OvechkinWSH | 25 | 19:57 | 0:48 | 2:07 | 3 | 0 |
 Conor ShearyWSH | 23 | 19:19 | 0:50 | 1:17 | 2 | 2 |
 Nicklas BackstromWSH | 22 | 18:56 | 0:52 | 1:44 | 3 | 3 |
 Tage ThompsonBUF | 24 | 18:53 | 0:47 | 1:15 | 2 | 3 |
 Alex TuchBUF | 24 | 18:27 | 0:46 | 1:27 | 3 | 4 |
 Casey MittelstadtBUF | 22 | 17:56 | 0:49 | 2:30 | 3 | 0 |
 Jeff SkinnerBUF | 23 | 17:30 | 0:46 | 1:27 | 0 | 3 |
 Garnet HathawayWSH | 22 | 16:49 | 0:46 | 1:28 | 4 | 2 |
 Kyle OkposoBUF | 23 | 16:47 | 0:44 | 1:14 | 2 | 2 |
 Marcus JohanssonWSH | 24 | 16:40 | 0:42 | 1:21 | 4 | 0 |
 Lars EllerWSH | 21 | 16:38 | 0:48 | 1:27 | 4 | 3 |
 Justin SchultzWSH | 22 | 15:24 | 0:42 | 1:26 | 3 | 1 |
 Dylan CozensBUF | 19 | 15:11 | 0:48 | 1:27 | 0 | 2 |
 Peyton KrebsBUF | 18 | 15:00 | 0:50 | 1:20 | 1 | 2 |
 Cody EakinBUF | 23 | 14:38 | 0:38 | 1:12 | 1 | 3 |
 Mark PysykBUF | 23 | 14:25 | 0:38 | 1:05 | 1 | 2 |
 Victor OlofssonBUF | 20 | 14:18 | 0:43 | 1:25 | 2 | 0 |
 Colin MillerBUF | 23 | 14:06 | 0:37 | 1:06 | 1 | 2 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsBUF | 19 | 13:22 | 0:42 | 1:01 | 0 | 2 |
 Rasmus AsplundBUF | 18 | 12:57 | 0:43 | 1:07 | 1 | 0 |
 Vinnie HinostrozaBUF | 15 | 12:20 | 0:49 | 1:04 | 1 | 2 |
 Matt IrwinWSH | 13 | 10:10 | 0:47 | 1:13 | 0 | 0 |
 Connor McMichaelWSH | 10 | 9:13 | 0:55 | 1:27 | 2 | 0 |
 Axel Jonsson-FjallbyWSH | 12 | 8:38 | 0:43 | 1:00 | 2 | 0 |
 Michal KempnyWSH | 5 | 3:17 | 0:39 | 1:16 | 0 | 0 |