Sun, Feb 20, 2022·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
Carolina Hurricanes 4, Pittsburgh Penguins 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 62% of the time.
30%
9%
8%
53%
PIT winsCAR wins
Carolina Hurricanes
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 28:03 | 0.10 | 63.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 27:16 | 0.66 | 62.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 25:37 | 0.05 | 62.6% | +27.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 22:14 | 0.69 | 73.0% | +8.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21:12 | 0.05 | 68.5% | +8.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20:58 | 0.05 | 34.0% | +8.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 18:31 | 0.24 | 76.2% | +16.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 16:51 | 0.41 | 76.6% | +27.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 16:40 | 0.62 | 63.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 16:17 | 0.05 | 61.5% | +27.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:57 | 0.24 | 31.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:08 | 0.01 | 46.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:39 | 0.00 | 13.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 10:26 | 0.15 | 34.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9:22 | 0.07 | 38.2% | +15.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9:19 | 0.09 | 44.1% | +15.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9:03 | 0.17 | 42.0% | +15.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2:14 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 34 | 31 | 3 | .912 | 2.91 | −0.1 | 60:00 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 26:55 | 0.07 | 37.6% | +19.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 22:49 | 0.38 | 45.8% | +25.4 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 22:46 | 0.38 | 46.9% | +41.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22:46 | 0.24 | 39.6% | +25.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20:10 | 0.37 | 48.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17:51 | 0.28 | 58.8% | +19.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:33 | 0.04 | 51.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:20 | 0.02 | 49.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 16:22 | 0.36 | 30.0% | +3.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:57 | 0.21 | 44.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:50 | 0.03 | 49.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:35 | 0.00 | 46.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:06 | 0.12 | 36.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:25 | 0.09 | 47.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:08 | 0.04 | 53.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:07 | 0.04 | 33.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:52 | 0.21 | 33.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:31 | 0.04 | 50.6% | 0.0 |
| L | 30 | 26 | 4 | .867 | 3.11 | −0.9 | 57:17 |