Sun, Feb 20, 2022·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
Carolina Hurricanes 4, Pittsburgh Penguins 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 62% of the time.
30%
9%
8%
53%
PIT winsCAR wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
PIT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CAR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Teravainen–Aho–Svechnikov | Staal–Niederreiter–Fast | Trocheck–Lorentz–Necas | Martinook–Kotkaniemi–Jarvis | Lorentz–Kotkaniemi–Jarvis | Teravainen–Martinook–Aho | Skjei–Pesce | Slavin–DeAngelo | Pesce–DeAngelo | Slavin–Bear | Skjei–Bear | Skjei–Slavin | Skjei–DeAngelo | Pesce–Bear | Slavin–Pesce | Smith–Bear | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crosby–Rust–Guentzel | 8:590.40–0.46 | 1:530.00–0.19 | 0:530.46–0.06 | 3:200.00–0.43 | 4:030.65–0.02 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 1:300.04–0.10 | 0:570.09–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 0:500.00–0.00 | 1:080.09–0.16 | |||||
| Carter–Malkin–Heinen | 1:020.01–0.14 | 4:110.28–0.29 | 0:420.01–0.00 | 2:400.12–0.03 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 3:000.13–0.40 | 1:590.09–0.06 | 2:180.02–0.00 | 0:590.06–0.00 | 0:540.00–0.00 | ||||||
| McGinn–Kapanen–Rodrigues | 1:310.00–0.11 | 2:300.04–0.01 | 1:330.16–0.00 | 1:330.00–0.33 | 2:160.36–0.00 | 3:090.01–0.29 | 0:430.02–0.00 | 1:330.00–0.17 | 0:330.05–0.00 | |||||||
| Boyle–Simon–Aston-Reese | 1:180.07–0.00 | 3:120.04–0.26 | 1:580.11–0.03 | 2:140.00–0.03 | 1:260.04–0.03 | 0:350.11–0.00 | 1:200.00–0.23 | 0:530.17–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Malkin–Rust–Heinen | 0:400.00–0.02 | |||||||||||||||
| Letang–Dumoulin | 6:480.29–0.37 | 7:470.06–0.76 | 0:480.43–0.03 | 0:440.26–0.03 | 4:180.00–0.52 | 5:010.49–0.11 | 0:510.00–0.00 | 1:180.00–0.33 | 1:500.21–0.00 | 1:200.00–0.00 | 1:520.00–0.00 | 0:450.09–0.16 | ||||
| Matheson–Ruhwedel | 3:380.00–0.02 | 3:100.18–0.00 | 3:150.15–0.03 | 2:180.00–0.16 | 0:420.00–0.02 | 4:120.30–0.02 | 3:520.04–0.19 | 1:440.01–0.02 | 1:580.06–0.00 | 1:080.11–0.29 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 0:560.00–0.00 | ||||
| Pettersson–Marino | 2:520.16–0.43 | 2:020.12–0.00 | 2:110.16–0.00 | 2:380.12–0.19 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 2:520.16–0.34 | 2:110.24–0.11 | 1:590.11–0.00 | 1:040.03–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.17 | 0:500.00–0.00 | 1:000.12–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
PITCARFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Brett PesceCAR | 29 | 28:03 | 0:58 | 3:43 | 3 | 5 |
 Jaccob SlavinCAR | 28 | 27:16 | 0:58 | 2:25 | 3 | 4 |
 Kris LetangPIT | 25 | 26:55 | 1:05 | 3:33 | 2 | 3 |
 Brady SkjeiCAR | 29 | 25:37 | 0:53 | 2:25 | 2 | 3 |
 Jake GuentzelPIT | 24 | 22:49 | 0:57 | 3:44 | 7 | 1 |
 Bryan RustPIT | 25 | 22:46 | 0:55 | 1:59 | 7 | 1 |
 Sidney CrosbyPIT | 24 | 22:46 | 0:57 | 3:25 | 6 | 1 |
 Sebastian AhoCAR | 21 | 22:14 | 1:04 | 2:03 | 1 | 2 |
 Teuvo TeravainenCAR | 23 | 21:12 | 0:55 | 1:52 | 2 | 2 |
 Tony DeAngeloCAR | 22 | 20:58 | 0:57 | 1:34 | 1 | 3 |
 Brian DumoulinPIT | 25 | 20:10 | 0:48 | 1:32 | 3 | 4 |
 Jordan StaalCAR | 25 | 18:31 | 0:44 | 1:18 | 4 | 5 |
 Evgeni MalkinPIT | 23 | 17:51 | 0:47 | 1:55 | 6 | 0 |
 John MarinoPIT | 23 | 17:33 | 0:46 | 1:23 | 1 | 3 |
 Mike MathesonPIT | 18 | 17:20 | 0:58 | 1:38 | 2 | 2 |
 Jesper FastCAR | 22 | 16:51 | 0:46 | 1:13 | 4 | 1 |
 Andrei SvechnikovCAR | 17 | 16:40 | 0:59 | 1:37 | 1 | 2 |
 Evan RodriguesPIT | 20 | 16:22 | 0:49 | 1:32 | 2 | 6 |
 Nino NiederreiterCAR | 19 | 16:17 | 0:51 | 1:17 | 5 | 1 |
 Jeff CarterPIT | 23 | 15:57 | 0:42 | 1:52 | 3 | 2 |
 Chad RuhwedelPIT | 19 | 15:50 | 0:50 | 1:38 | 2 | 3 |
 Danton HeinenPIT | 21 | 14:35 | 0:42 | 1:17 | 3 | 0 |
 Kasperi KapanenPIT | 18 | 14:06 | 0:47 | 1:23 | 2 | 2 |
 Vincent TrocheckCAR | 21 | 13:57 | 0:40 | 1:53 | 7 | 5 |
 Brock McGinnPIT | 19 | 13:25 | 0:42 | 1:04 | 3 | 7 |
 Marcus PetterssonPIT | 17 | 13:08 | 0:46 | 1:24 | 0 | 1 |
 Ethan BearCAR | 16 | 13:08 | 0:49 | 1:31 | 1 | 1 |
 Martin NecasCAR | 20 | 11:39 | 0:35 | 1:18 | 6 | 2 |
 Steven LorentzCAR | 17 | 10:26 | 0:37 | 1:14 | 5 | 2 |
 Zachary Aston-ReesePIT | 15 | 10:07 | 0:40 | 1:37 | 2 | 2 |
 Brian BoylePIT | 15 | 9:52 | 0:39 | 1:08 | 2 | 1 |
 Seth JarvisCAR | 13 | 9:22 | 0:43 | 1:11 | 2 | 1 |
 Jesperi KotkaniemiCAR | 12 | 9:19 | 0:47 | 1:26 | 2 | 1 |
 Jordan MartinookCAR | 13 | 9:03 | 0:42 | 1:27 | 1 | 3 |
 Dominik SimonPIT | 12 | 8:31 | 0:43 | 1:20 | 1 | 1 |
 Brendan SmithCAR | 3 | 2:14 | 0:45 | 1:05 | 0 | 0 |