Thu, Dec 1, 2022·Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia
Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Philadelphia Flyers 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 89% of the time.
85%
PHI winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 | 22:18 | 0.13 | 85.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:00 | 0.18 | 55.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:44 | 0.06 | 71.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20:54 | 0.75 | 62.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:11 | 0.53 | 55.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 18:26 | 0.02 | 89.3% | +16.7 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 18:13 | 0.27 | 69.6% | +32.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 17:22 | 0.17 | 79.4% | +15.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 17:09 | 0.00 | 83.7% | +1.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 16:00 | 0.21 | 95.1% | +16.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:44 | 0.06 | 74.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:05 | 0.26 | 86.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:44 | 0.01 | 23.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:38 | 0.13 | 85.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:37 | 0.06 | 46.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12:21 | 0.43 | 85.4% | +6.7 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11:53 | 0.50 | 68.8% | +23.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:41 | 0.04 | 92.2% | 0.0 |
| W | 22 | 21 | 1 | .955 | 1.20 | +0.2 | 60:00 |
Philadelphia Flyers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24:04 | 0.03 | 25.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21:31 | 0.09 | 40.4% | +0.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:50 | 0.01 | 19.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20:06 | 0.02 | 31.7% | +0.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 18:17 | 0.08 | 23.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 17:19 | 0.06 | 36.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:27 | 0.02 | 30.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 16:21 | 0.00 | 23.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:52 | 0.07 | 10.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:36 | 0.15 | 37.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15:34 | 0.38 | 30.0% | +0.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:30 | 0.13 | 36.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:27 | 0.03 | 37.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:47 | 0.00 | 19.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 12:31 | 0.01 | 11.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 12:07 | 0.06 | 27.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 11:47 | 0.04 | 8.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:44 | 0.01 | 15.8% | 0.0 |
| L | 27 | 23 | 4 | .852 | 3.80 | −0.2 | 60:00 |