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Ice Lab

Thu, Dec 1, 2022·Enterprise Center, St. Louis

Carolina Hurricanes 6, St. Louis Blues 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 88% of the time.

STL winsCAR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

STL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CAR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Aho–Necas–JarvisStaal–Fast–MartinookNoesen–Kotkaniemi–SvechnikovStastny–Stepan–DruryStastny–Noesen–SvechnikovSkjei–PesceBurns–Slavinde Haan–Chatfield
O'Reilly–Leivo–Saad9:160.72–0.281:340.03–0.120:330.00–0.006:160.24–0.202:520.05–0.062:410.54–0.12
Schenn–Barbashev–Kyrou5:310.03–0.561:130.01–0.092:510.00–0.352:540.03–0.240:590.01–0.09
Tarasenko–Buchnevich–Thomas1:370.00–0.191:290.05–0.002:450.00–0.370:420.00–0.042:100.00–0.373:130.05–0.231:160.00–0.00
Buchnevich–Kyrou–Thomas1:370.06–0.000:450.00–0.060:490.00–0.002:030.06–0.111:310.14–0.000:330.00–0.00
Barbashev–Acciari–Neighbours1:530.00–0.102:340.16–0.10
Schenn–Tarasenko–Acciari1:200.00–0.051:240.02–0.050:370.00–0.00
Schenn–Tarasenko–Saad0:360.00–0.000:410.00–0.00
Acciari–Thomas–Neighbours0:310.00–0.000:380.00–0.080:310.00–0.000:530.00–0.08
Acciari–Kyrou–Neighbours0:310.04–0.00
Leivo–Acciari–Neighbours0:320.10–0.000:400.10–0.00
Leddy–Parayko9:280.64–0.231:090.00–0.054:230.03–0.165:570.13–0.124:580.19–0.115:410.54–0.20
Faulk–Krug0:450.06–0.007:580.03–0.680:320.00–0.371:010.00–0.136:280.06–0.904:330.03–0.271:140.17–0.00
Bortuzzo–Rosen1:310.05–0.002:010.11–0.080:300.00–0.001:120.00–0.002:200.06–0.081:050.10–0.00
Faulk–Mikkola2:170.00–0.230:550.00–0.000:410.00–0.001:340.03–0.043:050.00–0.24
Mikkola–Rosen1:040.00–0.001:280.00–0.161:250.00–0.060:580.04–0.001:120.05–0.10
Parayko–Mikkola1:270.07–0.101:050.07–0.10
Leddy–Mikkola0:450.00–0.120:420.00–0.12
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndSchenn FKyrou FBarbashev FLeivo FSaad FO'Reilly FTarasenko FBuchnevich FThomas FAcciari FNeighbours FKrug DFaulk DParayko DLeddy DMikkola DBortuzzo DRosen DBinnington GStaal FMartinook FFast FNecas FAho FJarvis FNoesen FKotkaniemi FSvechnikov FDrury FStepan FStastny FBurns DSlavin DSkjei DPesce Dde Haan DChatfield DRaanta GKochetkov G
STLCARFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Brady SkjeiCAR2924:450:511:2028
Justin FaulkSTL3523:460:411:3671
Brett PesceCAR2923:280:491:1326
Brent BurnsCAR3122:280:431:1532
Jaccob SlavinCAR2921:490:451:1922
Colton ParaykoSTL2821:300:461:2825
Nick LeddySTL2621:290:501:5723
Ryan O'ReillySTL2420:410:521:2114
Sebastian AhoCAR2320:090:531:2231
Martin NecasCAR2219:590:551:3532
Jordan KyrouSTL2419:420:491:2740
Brandon SaadSTL2319:340:511:3834
Robert ThomasSTL2519:330:471:2532
Josh LeivoSTL2519:130:461:1013
Pavel BuchnevichSTL2518:380:451:1533
Jordan StaalCAR2518:340:451:2917
Torey KrugSTL2418:320:461:3060
Jordan MartinookCAR2618:250:431:2717
Jesper FastCAR2517:270:421:1514
Brayden SchennSTL2117:130:491:2050
Seth JarvisCAR2016:510:511:1241
Vladimir TarasenkoSTL2215:070:411:1553
Andrei SvechnikovCAR1814:440:491:1541
Stefan NoesenCAR1814:200:481:1141
Noel AcciariSTL1913:350:431:0813
Jalen ChatfieldCAR2013:140:401:1212
Calvin de HaanCAR1912:580:411:1312
Niko MikkolaSTL2012:400:381:3102
Ivan BarbashevSTL1612:240:471:3220
Jesperi KotkaniemiCAR1511:130:451:1330
Calle RosenSTL1811:020:371:3701
Paul StastnyCAR149:580:430:5611
Jake NeighboursSTL139:080:421:2501
Jack DruryCAR128:050:401:0610
Derek StepanCAR137:460:361:1210
Robert BortuzzoSTL116:180:341:1901