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Ice Lab

Thu, Dec 29, 2022·Amalie Arena, Tampa

New York Rangers 1, Tampa Bay Lightning 2 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 61% of the time.

TBL winsNYR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against NYR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Kreider–Zibanejad–KakkoTrocheck–Goodrow–PanarinGauthier–Chytil–KravtsovVesey–Brodzinski–BlaisTrocheck–Panarin–GauthierFox–LindgrenTrouba–MillerHarpur–SchneiderFox–MillerLindgren–Schneider
Maroon–Paul–Colton0:400.15–0.001:190.03–0.055:180.22–0.400:400.03–0.051:040.00–0.051:080.03–0.146:070.40–0.370:350.00–0.09
Stamkos–Kucherov–Point5:380.19–0.171:310.00–0.002:170.21–0.073:020.15–0.030:420.00–0.00
Killorn–Cirelli–Hagel6:470.64–0.012:410.21–0.002:560.36–0.010:450.00–0.000:420.07–0.00
Killorn–Stamkos–Cirelli4:410.22–0.461:200.00–0.344:090.13–0.472:060.10–0.44
Perry–Namestnikov–Bellemare0:570.00–0.005:050.41–0.022:250.16–0.001:340.11–0.002:180.09–0.13
Kucherov–Point–Hagel1:060.13–0.134:540.57–0.222:000.22–0.133:040.36–0.220:540.00–0.00
Maroon–Namestnikov–Bellemare0:420.00–0.060:470.00–0.06
Bogosian–Hedman2:300.11–0.001:400.13–0.212:530.11–0.060:300.21–0.233:000.21–0.370:580.00–0.143:130.20–0.34
Cole–Sergachev7:390.66–0.252:270.22–0.134:180.36–0.150:450.00–0.000:420.07–0.00
Hedman–Perbix3:530.46–0.141:430.00–0.002:370.19–0.002:280.34–0.072:500.28–0.001:390.03–0.000:330.00–0.00
Sergachev–Perbix2:280.04–0.112:260.00–0.061:440.14–0.053:210.04–0.051:310.12–0.061:520.03–0.11
Cole–Cernak3:350.25–0.250:460.00–0.000:360.00–0.062:230.00–0.251:020.10–0.001:480.15–0.06
Bogosian–Sergachev2:420.09–0.480:440.00–0.001:270.03–0.342:080.09–0.050:370.00–0.09
Cole–Hedman1:210.08–0.000:420.00–0.001:350.08–0.000:400.00–0.00
Hedman–Sergachev1:370.16–0.160:470.02–0.001:360.22–0.16
Cole–Bogosian
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndKillorn FCirelli FStamkos FPaul FPoint FKucherov FHagel FMaroon FColton FNamestnikov FPerry FBellemare FCole DCernak DHedman DSergachev DPerbix DBogosian DVasilevskiy GKreider FKakko FZibanejad FPanarin FTrocheck FGoodrow FGauthier FChytil FKravtsov FBlais FBrodzinski FVesey FFox DLindgren DTrouba DMiller DSchneider DHarpur DShesterkin G
TBLNYRFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Mikhail SergachevTBL3430:520:541:4136
Victor HedmanTBL3430:490:542:3644
Adam FoxNYR2827:090:582:5334
Ian ColeTBL2623:540:552:0433
K'Andre MillerNYR2822:590:491:3312
Chris KreiderNYR2322:420:592:0454
Artemi PanarinNYR2222:151:012:3934
Mika ZibanejadNYR2322:090:582:1044
Jacob TroubaNYR2821:290:461:2224
Anthony CirelliTBL2321:240:561:5135
Ryan LindgrenNYR2721:190:471:1926
Vincent TrocheckNYR2120:440:592:4924
Brandon HagelTBL2219:360:531:2953
Alex KillornTBL2319:310:511:1832
Nikita KucherovTBL2419:080:481:3533
Brayden PointTBL2418:280:461:2443
Steven StamkosTBL2118:160:521:2001
Zach BogosianTBL1817:561:001:5212
Kaapo KakkoNYR2217:200:471:1133
Nick PerbixTBL2416:210:411:2543
Barclay GoodrowNYR2016:000:481:1725
Braden SchneiderNYR2215:540:431:2643
Filip ChytilNYR1815:360:521:2842
Ben HarpurNYR1813:230:451:2242
Vitali KravtsovNYR1512:450:511:2952
Julien GauthierNYR1412:350:541:3822
Patrick MaroonTBL1412:240:531:2433
Pierre-Edouard BellemareTBL1512:120:491:1112
Nick PaulTBL1512:110:491:3233
Ross ColtonTBL1412:090:521:2433
Jimmy VeseyNYR1410:440:461:0220
Jonny BrodzinskiNYR1510:250:421:0120
Sammy BlaisNYR1510:020:401:0520
Corey PerryTBL129:590:501:2502
Vladislav NamestnikovTBL129:490:491:2901
Erik CernakTBL76:400:571:2700