Thu, Dec 29, 2022·Capital One Arena, Washington
Ottawa Senators 4, Washington Capitals 3 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 77% of the time.
16%
70%
WSH winsOTT wins
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 28:42 | 0.11 | 58.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 22:44 | 0.12 | 78.8% | +14.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 22:28 | 0.07 | 43.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 20:42 | 0.23 | 94.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 6 | 20:01 | 0.54 | 65.1% | +14.2 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +3 | 5 | 19:31 | 0.75 | 71.9% | +84.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19:20 | 0.00 | 61.4% | +66.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 18:29 | 0.15 | 69.9% | +32.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 5 | 18:14 | 0.40 | 61.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 17:43 | 0.39 | 74.9% | +32.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 17:12 | 0.12 | 78.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:33 | 0.07 | 72.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:35 | 0.10 | 64.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:33 | 0.19 | 64.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10:38 | 0.25 | 67.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:16 | 0.13 | 63.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:00 | 0.15 | 89.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 7:52 | 0.02 | 55.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 23 | 20 | 3 | .870 | 2.07 | −0.9 | 61:31 |
Washington Capitals
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 27:47 | 0.00 | 26.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 24:07 | 0.05 | 19.3% | +28.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22:52 | 0.27 | 42.4% | +19.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 21:17 | 0.60 | 42.4% | +19.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:59 | 0.00 | 44.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:38 | 0.00 | 17.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 16:57 | 0.17 | 46.7% | +13.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 16:46 | 0.24 | 28.5% | +14.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:52 | 0.11 | 29.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15:17 | 0.07 | 29.8% | +19.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 15:11 | 0.01 | 10.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 14:17 | 0.38 | 41.8% | +13.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:24 | 0.00 | 11.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:11 | 0.03 | 27.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:50 | 0.01 | 12.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:10 | 0.06 | 31.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:36 | 0.06 | 35.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:39 | 0.02 | 13.6% | 0.0 |
| O | 45 | 41 | 4 | .911 | 3.79 | −0.2 | 61:14 |