Wed, Jan 4, 2023·Xcel Energy Center, St. Paul
Tampa Bay Lightning 1, Minnesota Wild 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 50% of the time.
41%
9%
8%
42%
MIN winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 24:33 | 0.13 | 49.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 23:43 | 0.00 | 66.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 21:52 | 0.81 | 60.6% | +6.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 20:53 | 0.46 | 66.2% | +6.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −3 | 3 | 20:38 | 0.31 | 53.5% | +6.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19:21 | 0.31 | 41.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 17:59 | 0.23 | 58.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:47 | 0.14 | 42.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:22 | 0.04 | 43.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:58 | 0.00 | 37.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 15:51 | 0.20 | 50.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 15:08 | 0.16 | 71.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:48 | 0.13 | 41.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 12:29 | 0.03 | 53.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 11:44 | 0.18 | 68.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:56 | 0.11 | 44.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 10:13 | 0.06 | 44.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:53 | 0.00 | 52.6% | 0.0 |
| L | 32 | 28 | 4 | .875 | 2.56 | −1.4 | 58:47 |
Minnesota Wild
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22:50 | 0.13 | 49.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 22:50 | 0.03 | 61.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 19:09 | 0.00 | 32.9% | +6.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 18:08 | 0.20 | 59.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 17:49 | 0.15 | 40.0% | +18.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 17:31 | 0.04 | 36.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 17:20 | 0.10 | 35.5% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 6 | 17:10 | 1.14 | 57.4% | +12.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:03 | 0.28 | 46.8% | +18.7 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 16:20 | 0.40 | 31.5% | +20.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 16:10 | 0.29 | 56.5% | +6.7 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 2 | 15:10 | 0.06 | 45.3% | +38.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:53 | 0.00 | 30.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 13:37 | 0.00 | 51.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:56 | 0.20 | 34.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:45 | 0.07 | 36.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 11:59 | 0.02 | 39.1% | +7.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:11 | 0.12 | 32.6% | 0.0 |
| – | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0.00 | 0.0 | 2:03 | |
| W | 35 | 34 | 1 | .971 | 3.28 | +2.3 | 57:52 |