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Ice Lab

Sat, Jan 14, 2023·Enterprise Center, St. Louis

Tampa Bay Lightning 4, St. Louis Blues 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 70% of the time.

STL winsTBL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

STL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Maroon–Paul–ColtonKillorn–Stamkos–CirelliPerry–Namestnikov–BellemareKillorn–Cirelli–HagelStamkos–Kucherov–PointKucherov–Point–HagelCole–CernakBogosian–HedmanSergachev–PerbixHedman–SergachevCernak–SergachevCole–HedmanBogosian–SergachevCole–Bogosian
Schenn–Saad–Barbashev0:550.00–0.024:110.43–0.291:290.17–0.001:030.00–0.001:430.09–0.001:300.00–0.003:330.11–0.120:350.00–0.002:000.24–0.290:340.03–0.000:580.14–0.02
Buchnevich–Kyrou–Thomas1:170.09–0.080:480.00–0.002:150.13–0.030:550.00–0.082:580.00–0.114:290.09–0.200:320.06–0.000:560.00–0.041:220.07–0.081:200.00–0.000:330.00–0.03
Pitlick–Toropchenko–Alexandrov3:380.00–0.142:220.23–0.001:350.00–0.002:010.02–0.142:450.21–0.00
Leivo–Acciari–Neighbours3:230.16–0.000:420.00–0.212:100.02–0.030:460.14–0.001:340.00–0.18
Pitlick–Acciari–Toropchenko1:350.00–0.290:420.05–0.021:360.00–0.250:410.00–0.07
Barbashev–Acciari–Neighbours1:090.00–0.000:530.00–0.180:400.00–0.00
Schenn–Leivo–Neighbours0:490.00–0.081:200.00–0.08
Schenn–Saad–Kyrou1:040.00–0.020:330.00–0.000:310.00–0.02
Leddy–Faulk2:530.00–0.083:280.32–0.292:280.09–0.021:350.10–0.251:040.03–0.033:140.00–0.093:140.09–0.380:300.10–0.000:400.00–0.281:200.01–0.001:040.00–0.021:160.03–0.000:590.14–0.02
Parayko–Mikkola0:440.15–0.001:090.08–0.001:120.00–0.001:570.03–0.153:180.05–0.112:160.03–0.062:320.00–0.092:020.19–0.101:090.00–0.000:430.03–0.000:380.05–0.000:310.03–0.00
Rosen–Tucker5:460.16–0.020:430.00–0.262:030.23–0.000:430.00–0.040:420.00–0.033:130.02–0.032:190.16–0.003:080.21–0.000:520.00–0.280:340.00–0.02
Parayko–Rosen0:330.06–0.081:470.07–0.001:540.06–0.261:070.07–0.00
Faulk–Tucker1:420.05–0.140:490.00–0.000:390.00–0.140:300.05–0.00
Leddy–Tucker0:490.00–0.081:070.00–0.250:480.00–0.081:210.00–0.25
Leddy–Mikkola0:510.05–0.00
Faulk–Rosen0:520.00–0.000:460.00–0.00
Leddy–Parayko0:360.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndLeivo FAcciari FNeighbours FThomas FKyrou FBuchnevich FSaad FBarbashev FSchenn FAlexandrov FToropchenko FPitlick FLeddy DFaulk DParayko DMikkola DRosen DTucker DBinnington GMaroon FPaul FColton FKucherov FHagel FPoint FStamkos FCirelli FKillorn FNamestnikov FBellemare FPerry FCole DCernak DSergachev DHedman DBogosian DPerbix DVasilevskiy G
STLTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Victor HedmanTBL2724:380:552:0424
Mikhail SergachevTBL3024:350:491:1935
Ian ColeTBL3024:250:491:2515
Justin FaulkSTL2824:170:521:4785
Erik CernakTBL2821:560:471:3414
Brayden SchennSTL2121:031:002:1080
Pavel BuchnevichSTL2420:430:521:3873
Colton ParaykoSTL2620:280:471:4332
Nick LeddySTL2520:000:481:4163
Robert ThomasSTL2319:580:521:5473
Calle RosenSTL2319:160:502:3010
Brandon SaadSTL2218:440:511:4470
Jordan KyrouSTL2218:360:511:5471
Nick PaulTBL2418:180:461:1814
Brandon HagelTBL2218:120:502:2825
Anthony CirelliTBL2218:120:501:2924
Steven StamkosTBL2118:070:522:2063
Ivan BarbashevSTL2018:060:541:5070
Alex KillornTBL2217:460:481:4223
Tyler TuckerSTL1817:020:572:1200
Nikita KucherovTBL1816:280:552:4033
Brayden PointTBL1815:240:511:4934
Niko MikkolaSTL2314:130:371:1433
Noel AcciariSTL1813:480:461:5915
Ross ColtonTBL1813:390:461:1911
Zach BogosianTBL1613:370:512:0302
Patrick MaroonTBL1812:450:431:1611
Jake NeighboursSTL1712:340:441:1801
Alexey ToropchenkoSTL1311:190:521:3101
Tyler PitlickSTL1311:100:521:3902
Pierre-Edouard BellemareTBL1510:120:411:2113
Vladislav NamestnikovTBL149:270:411:1312
Nick PerbixTBL118:380:471:1700
Nikita AlexandrovSTL118:300:461:2400
Josh LeivoSTL128:220:421:2601
Corey PerryTBL137:410:350:5612