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Ice Lab

Tue, Feb 21, 2023·PNC Arena, Raleigh

St. Louis Blues 1, Carolina Hurricanes 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 80% of the time.

CAR winsSTL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

CAR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against STL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Pitlick–Toropchenko–AlexandrovBarbashev–Kyrou–ThomasSchenn–Leivo–BlaisSchenn–Barbashev–KyrouLeivo–Blais–ThomasLeivo–Blais–AlexandrovSchenn–Walker–HighmoreWalker–Highmore–ToropchenkoWalker–Highmore–AlexandrovWalker–Highmore–ThomasSchenn–Pitlick–ToropchenkoPitlick–Walker–ToropchenkoSchenn–Kyrou–ThomasPitlick–Thomas–ToropchenkoPitlick–Walker–ThomasLeddy–ParaykoFaulk–KrugBortuzzo–ScandellaLeddy–FaulkScandella–ParaykoScandella–FaulkParayko–RosenKrug–ParaykoFaulk–RosenFaulk–ParaykoBortuzzo–RosenLeddy–Rosen
Aho–Svechnikov–Jarvis6:121.27–0.211:070.00–0.041:120.00–0.101:070.01–0.005:190.74–0.261:060.36–0.031:320.09–0.021:070.01–0.000:320.21–0.00
Teravainen–Necas–Kotkaniemi6:470.38–0.270:310.00–0.000:440.02–0.000:560.00–0.001:000.00–0.082:350.01–0.082:080.16–0.071:470.13–0.220:500.00–0.001:170.00–0.000:320.00–0.000:330.10–0.00
Staal–Fast–Martinook0:360.00–0.006:220.47–0.430:430.10–0.001:260.00–0.000:510.00–0.003:010.00–0.133:140.21–0.130:400.00–0.100:330.17–0.000:420.12–0.000:450.00–0.00
Stastny–Stepan–Noesen0:430.90–0.000:550.30–0.000:500.00–0.151:190.06–0.000:350.00–0.020:350.00–0.181:050.00–0.090:430.90–0.001:450.12–0.111:110.02–0.000:560.00–0.160:540.30–0.000:590.03–0.11
Noesen–Necas–Kotkaniemi0:460.00–0.010:370.00–0.00
Necas–Kotkaniemi–Svechnikov0:440.00–0.000:510.00–0.00
Teravainen–Aho–Svechnikov0:480.00–0.000:470.00–0.00
Skjei–Pesce2:340.13–0.133:530.49–0.141:260.00–0.131:010.00–0.002:050.10–0.100:470.00–0.000:350.02–0.000:330.00–0.001:070.01–0.001:060.00–0.085:020.34–0.172:510.15–0.053:380.15–0.261:260.02–0.021:520.01–0.00
Burns–Slavin1:330.06–0.062:060.71–0.055:310.54–0.291:240.00–0.010:310.00–0.000:550.30–0.003:040.26–0.052:210.24–0.133:010.30–0.001:140.07–0.101:410.22–0.070:360.03–0.011:460.42–0.001:060.21–0.100:300.00–0.000:320.06–0.06
de Haan–Chatfield4:380.25–0.140:440.02–0.000:440.00–0.000:490.03–0.011:210.00–0.030:360.00–0.000:480.00–0.181:030.00–0.092:210.15–0.082:090.16–0.071:130.00–0.170:500.00–0.051:480.00–0.091:200.00–0.000:380.03–0.000:440.00–0.001:090.08–0.180:330.10–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndStaal FMartinook FFast FTeravainen FNoesen FAho FJarvis FSvechnikov FKotkaniemi FNecas FStepan FStastny FBurns DSlavin DSkjei DPesce DChatfield Dde Haan DAndersen GSchenn FLeivo FBlais FBarbashev FThomas FKyrou FPitlick FToropchenko FAlexandrov FHighmore FWalker FLeddy DParayko DFaulk DKrug DBortuzzo DRosen DScandella DBinnington G
CARSTLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Justin FaulkSTL3223:480:451:3381
Brett PesceCAR2123:201:072:1215
Colton ParaykoSTL2923:110:481:1947
Brady SkjeiCAR2122:341:041:5036
Brayden SchennSTL2522:290:541:3193
Jaccob SlavinCAR2321:450:571:4105
Brent BurnsCAR2221:360:591:4406
Robert ThomasSTL2521:360:522:0383
Nick LeddySTL2519:540:481:5824
Jordan KyrouSTL2419:290:491:2382
Ivan BarbashevSTL2118:180:522:0341
Alexey ToropchenkoSTL2018:100:551:1943
Sammy BlaisSTL2217:160:471:4951
Sebastian AhoCAR2016:590:511:2912
Nikita AlexandrovSTL1916:430:531:1240
Jordan MartinookCAR1916:330:521:5917
Jordan StaalCAR1916:210:522:0118
Tyler PitlickSTL1616:171:011:2632
Teuvo TeravainenCAR1916:140:511:3133
Andrei SvechnikovCAR1816:030:541:3103
Josh LeivoSTL2215:570:441:2651
Marco ScandellaSTL2315:430:411:1122
Jalen ChatfieldCAR1815:390:521:5424
Martin NecasCAR1615:290:581:4434
Jesperi KotkaniemiCAR1615:260:581:4333
Calvin de HaanCAR1915:120:481:3324
Jesper FastCAR1815:000:501:4714
Torey KrugSTL1914:170:451:2171
Seth JarvisCAR1713:500:491:2413
Robert BortuzzoSTL1811:320:381:1210
Stefan NoesenCAR1510:590:441:1212
Paul StastnyCAR1310:470:501:1412
Nathan WalkerSTL1310:280:481:1012
Derek StepanCAR1510:170:411:1512
Matthew HighmoreSTL129:250:471:0612
Calle RosenSTL117:110:390:5501