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Ice Lab

Sat, Feb 25, 2023·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

Tampa Bay Lightning 3, Detroit Red Wings 0

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 72% of the time.

DET winsTBL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

DET forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Kucherov–Point–HagelKillorn–Stamkos–CirelliNamestnikov–Paul–ColtonPerry–Maroon–BellemareBogosian–HedmanSergachev–PerbixCole–FooteBogosian–SergachevCole–HedmanCole–SergachevHedman–FooteHedman–Perbix
Perron–Bertuzzi–Larkin3:390.29–0.043:020.23–0.002:190.54–0.052:020.11–0.004:321.06–0.042:450.11–0.041:410.00–0.020:550.01–0.001:170.01–0.000:490.00–0.04
Kubalik–Copp–Fabbri2:300.01–0.133:040.07–0.021:260.00–0.202:020.02–0.022:510.06–0.132:220.02–0.20
Sundqvist–Suter–Zadina0:360.00–0.012:170.11–0.021:190.02–0.001:210.03–0.030:490.07–0.00
Veleno–Zadina–Berggren0:560.00–0.001:430.00–0.001:200.08–0.000:410.00–0.000:560.00–0.00
Suter–Zadina–Berggren0:410.00–0.050:430.06–0.000:520.00–0.00
Suter–Veleno–Zadina1:150.42–0.000:380.40–0.000:360.00–0.00
Copp–Bertuzzi–Fabbri0:520.00–0.000:490.00–0.00
Kubalik–Veleno–Berggren1:110.00–0.000:340.00–0.000:370.00–0.00
Fabbri–Veleno–Berggren0:350.00–0.000:550.04–0.00
Walman–Seider6:360.23–0.284:180.22–0.000:360.44–0.001:290.00–0.005:020.89–0.024:080.02–0.263:400.00–0.110:540.00–0.00
Maatta–Lindstrom6:450.17–0.315:010.07–0.123:260.09–0.002:150.14–0.115:180.04–0.180:560.00–0.000:470.00–0.00
Chiarot–Hronek3:100.13–0.077:040.14–0.021:170.00–0.110:470.19–0.003:120.23–0.064:450.06–0.132:330.17–0.000:480.00–0.001:370.01–0.00
Chiarot–Walman0:320.00–0.04
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndFabbri FBerggren FVeleno FBertuzzi FLarkin FKubalik FRasmussen FCopp FPerron FZadina FSundqvist FSuter FMaatta DLindstrom DWalman DSeider DChiarot DHronek DHusso GPaul FColton FNamestnikov FHagel FKucherov FPoint FCirelli FStamkos FKillorn FMaroon FBellemare FPerry FBogosian DHedman DPerbix DSergachev DCole DFoote DVasilevskiy G
DETTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Mikhail SergachevTBL2623:560:551:4109
Victor HedmanTBL2423:240:592:2037
Tyler BertuzziDET2422:000:552:04121
Ian ColeTBL2321:580:572:0616
Dylan LarkinDET2621:570:511:57130
Filip HronekDET2721:160:471:2774
Moritz SeiderDET2320:540:551:5371
Brandon HagelTBL2220:300:561:4005
Andrew CoppDET2120:220:581:2873
David PerronDET2419:410:492:00140
Robby FabbriDET1919:121:011:4181
Zach BogosianTBL1919:071:002:2315
Ben ChiarotDET2118:460:541:2914
Jake WalmanDET2218:270:501:5451
Anthony CirelliTBL2218:190:501:1539
Brayden PointTBL1818:011:001:4814
Olli MaattaDET2317:520:471:2922
Nikita KucherovTBL1917:110:541:5504
Alex KillornTBL1916:300:521:5635
Dominik KubalikDET1816:040:541:2772
Nick PerbixTBL1815:480:531:1814
Gustav LindstromDET2115:380:451:3131
Steven StamkosTBL1915:300:491:1148
Filip ZadinaDET1914:430:461:1811
Cal FooteTBL1814:230:481:4011
Jonatan BerggrenDET1613:520:521:2842
Nick PaulTBL1913:500:441:1614
Oskar SundqvistDET1712:200:441:2852
Pierre-Edouard BellemareTBL1411:210:491:3812
Vladislav NamestnikovTBL1711:160:401:1302
Pius SuterDET1911:060:351:2312
Corey PerryTBL1310:420:491:4510
Joseph VelenoDET1610:410:401:0614
Ross ColtonTBL1610:410:401:2002
Patrick MaroonTBL129:390:481:3810
Michael RasmussenDET32:130:440:4701