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Ice Lab

Thu, Mar 2, 2023·Madison Square Garden, New York

Ottawa Senators 5, New York Rangers 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 58% of the time.

NYR winsOTT wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

NYR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against OTT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

DeBrincat–Batherson–PintoGiroux–Tkachuk–StützleBrassard–Joseph–GambrellJoseph–Gauthier–GambrellBrassard–Watson–KastelicChabot–ZubHamonic–SandersonHolden–ChychrunHolden–ZubChychrun–Sanderson
Kane–Trocheck–Panarin5:190.36–0.402:340.00–0.000:480.02–0.003:120.19–0.383:330.34–0.002:250.02–0.00
Kreider–Tarasenko–Zibanejad2:330.02–0.033:560.32–0.460:500.02–0.001:310.02–0.061:540.02–0.345:110.64–0.06
Chytil–Kakko–Lafrenière1:060.26–0.000:360.00–0.112:100.00–0.131:380.07–0.030:300.00–0.003:430.26–0.061:170.00–0.091:130.00–0.140:300.00–0.00
Goodrow–Vesey–Lafrenière1:300.00–0.401:300.09–0.400:470.00–0.00
Goodrow–Vesey–Motte1:390.00–0.001:560.00–0.00
Goodrow–Vesey–Chytil0:420.00–0.010:560.05–0.010:300.04–0.00
Goodrow–Vesey–Kakko1:060.00–0.460:470.00–0.46
Mikkola–Fox3:190.00–0.822:140.17–0.122:550.00–0.870:430.00–0.002:550.17–0.18
Trouba–Harpur1:340.28–0.001:140.14–0.221:200.00–0.001:060.02–0.010:340.00–0.002:220.26–0.012:050.06–0.221:580.16–0.00
Fox–Schneider1:260.08–0.001:200.00–0.401:060.02–0.000:530.00–0.032:010.02–0.461:400.06–0.112:010.02–0.03
Trouba–Mikkola0:390.04–0.041:230.00–0.010:310.00–0.011:010.00–0.002:290.09–0.071:030.04–0.00
Harpur–Schneider0:380.09–0.001:060.00–0.090:560.00–0.001:050.00–0.091:210.31–0.00
Trouba–Schneider1:180.28–0.001:080.00–0.130:300.00–0.000:450.00–0.082:230.28–0.13
Mikkola–Schneider0:370.00–0.001:140.00–0.000:350.00–0.001:080.09–0.000:330.00–0.00
Harpur–Fox0:510.00–0.030:340.09–0.000:580.00–0.03
Trouba–Fox0:300.00–0.000:350.00–0.000:430.00–0.09
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndPanarin FTrocheck FKane FZibanejad FTarasenko FKreider FKakko FChytil FLafrenière FMotte FGoodrow FVesey FFox DMikkola DHarpur DTrouba DSchneider DHalak GTkachuk FStützle FGiroux FDeBrincat FBatherson FPinto FJoseph FGauthier FGambrell FBrassard FKastelic FWatson FZub DChabot DHamonic DSanderson DHolden DChychrun DTalbot G
NYROTTFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Adam FoxNYR3429:340:521:5154
Jacob TroubaNYR3326:190:481:3324
Mika ZibanejadNYR2821:570:471:5374
Tim StützleOTT3121:560:422:4046
Chris KreiderNYR2821:520:472:0375
Jake SandersonOTT3121:420:421:3535
Travis HamonicOTT2921:150:441:3625
Shane PintoOTT2921:000:431:2842
Artemi PanarinNYR2420:510:522:1843
Vincent TrocheckNYR2420:040:501:4515
Patrick KaneNYR2319:360:512:2643
Thomas ChabotOTT2519:210:462:2313
Jakob ChychrunOTT2919:160:401:2743
Claude GirouxOTT2919:010:391:2139
Niko MikkolaNYR2818:540:411:1124
Alex DeBrincatOTT2518:280:441:2860
Brady TkachukOTT2518:250:442:4144
Braden SchneiderNYR2718:150:411:4603
Nick HoldenOTT2817:560:381:1323
Drake BathersonOTT2317:550:471:2750
Artem ZubOTT2417:100:431:3104
Vladimir TarasenkoNYR2116:390:481:5352
Kaapo KakkoNYR2015:280:461:2031
Filip ChytilNYR1715:170:541:2930
Dylan GambrellOTT2615:090:351:3304
Mathieu JosephOTT2514:330:351:0201
Ben HarpurNYR1914:310:461:4112
Alexis LafrenièreNYR1413:290:581:3720
Barclay GoodrowNYR1611:560:451:2511
Derick BrassardOTT1811:550:401:0721
Jimmy VeseyNYR158:500:351:1313
Julien GauthierOTT116:120:341:0900
Mark KastelicOTT95:150:350:5811
Tyler MotteNYR62:500:280:4902
Austin WatsonOTT42:310:380:4711