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Ice Lab

Tue, Mar 14, 2023·Rogers Place, Edmonton

Ottawa Senators 3, Edmonton Oilers 6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Edmonton Oilers win this game 77% of the time.

EDM winsOTT wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

EDM forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against OTT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Batherson–Tkachuk–StützleGiroux–DeBrincat–PintoBrassard–Brown–GambrellWatson–Brown–GambrellWatson–Gauthier–KastelicWatson–Brown–PintoGiroux–DeBrincat–GambrellBrassard–Gauthier–KastelicGiroux–Brassard–PintoChychrun–ZubHamonic–SandersonHolden–BrannstromHolden–ChychrunHamonic–Chychrun
Kane–McDavid–Yamamoto1:010.16–0.092:580.12–0.031:240.25–0.001:170.00–0.023:090.37–0.033:510.24–0.110:350.17–0.00
Nugent-Hopkins–Draisaitl–Foegele4:400.28–0.000:490.00–0.040:380.05–0.004:260.28–0.042:470.29–0.001:040.00–0.00
Shore–Ryan–McLeod2:260.00–0.151:110.11–0.001:530.11–0.000:550.00–0.151:470.06–0.000:340.09–0.00
Bjugstad–Janmark–Kostin0:300.00–0.000:410.18–0.000:490.00–0.010:360.00–0.001:380.00–0.010:430.18–0.00
Draisaitl–Foegele–McDavid0:460.08–0.060:350.08–0.000:460.08–0.060:580.29–0.00
Shore–Janmark–Ryan0:550.00–0.000:300.00–0.001:130.00–0.00
Foegele–Ryan–Yamamoto1:090.05–0.12
Draisaitl–Foegele–Kostin0:550.15–0.000:580.15–0.00
Ceci–Nurse6:100.36–0.092:460.15–0.031:230.17–0.000:380.06–0.016:180.41–0.103:560.24–0.012:190.00–0.120:430.17–0.03
Ekholm–Bouchard2:520.03–0.234:270.44–0.281:180.00–0.000:300.00–0.005:250.27–0.284:200.21–0.231:500.18–0.000:460.12–0.00
Kulak–Desharnais0:450.00–0.000:450.00–0.001:480.25–0.001:410.21–0.001:050.00–0.030:550.00–0.000:370.00–0.020:360.00–0.002:570.11–0.013:370.43–0.143:320.11–0.01
Ceci–Bouchard0:510.00–0.200:400.00–0.20
Ekholm–Nurse0:350.00–0.02
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndDraisaitl FFoegele FNugent-Hopkins FMcDavid FYamamoto FKane FMcLeod FRyan FShore FKostin FJanmark FBjugstad FCeci DNurse DBouchard DEkholm DDesharnais DKulak DSkinner GTkachuk FStützle FBatherson FGiroux FDeBrincat FPinto FBrassard FBrown FGambrell FGauthier FWatson FKastelic FZub DChychrun DSanderson DHamonic DBrannstrom DHolden DSogaard G
EDMOTTFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Jake SandersonOTT2924:200:501:4645
Tim StützleOTT2823:450:512:00101
Jakob ChychrunOTT3023:200:471:2633
Darnell NurseEDM2822:410:492:0808
Ryan Nugent-HopkinsEDM2821:400:462:20114
Drake BathersonOTT2520:520:501:3981
Cody CeciEDM2820:420:441:5417
Connor McDavidEDM2620:240:472:2066
Leon DraisaitlEDM2420:140:511:3937
Claude GirouxOTT2920:040:421:5085
Evan BouchardEDM2320:000:521:3972
Mattias EkholmEDM2519:390:471:2645
Alex DeBrincatOTT2719:250:431:2983
Brady TkachukOTT2519:220:461:40101
Travis HamonicOTT2518:130:441:2115
Artem ZubOTT2518:070:431:2223
Vincent DesharnaisEDM2217:550:491:3528
Kailer YamamotoEDM2517:170:411:2432
Evander KaneEDM2317:160:451:3952
Shane PintoOTT2316:140:421:0732
Warren FoegeleEDM2215:550:431:1717
Brett KulakEDM1814:570:501:3424
Dylan GambrellOTT1914:110:451:1014
Nick HoldenOTT2014:040:421:0312
Derek RyanEDM2113:340:391:1335
Erik BrannstromOTT1812:340:421:0312
Mattias JanmarkEDM1612:220:461:3420
Patrick BrownOTT1912:170:391:1815
Derick BrassardOTT1710:340:371:0923
Devin ShoreEDM1510:280:421:1921
Julien GauthierOTT1610:200:391:0320
Austin WatsonOTT1610:010:381:1003
Nick BjugstadEDM169:230:351:0022
Ryan McLeodEDM149:100:391:1121
Klim KostinEDM127:240:371:0811
Mark KastelicOTT116:520:371:2310